CANADIANS PULL BACK ON VACATION PLANS DUE TO RECESSION
[Ottawa – July 2, 2009] – After having taken a hit with the public over their election threats at the end of the parliamentary session, the Liberals have rebounded into the narrowest of leads over the ruling Conservative Party. This reversal in fortunes has more to do with the disappearance of a short-term bump in Conservative support that occurred at the end of the session than any change in Liberal fortunes.
“This is a pattern we have seen several times since
July 2nd, 2009 | Category: Uncategorized | Leave a comment
Ontario Now Dead Heat
[Ottawa – June 25, 2009] – The Conservative Party has edged ahead of the Liberal Party after months of lagging behind, according to the latest EKOS poll, released exclusively to cbc.ca.
The Liberal Party and its leader, Michael Ignatieff, appear to have paid a price for threatening to take the country to the polls this summer. EKOS’ daily tracking shows that they nose-dived after making the threat last week. Although the Liberals may have recovered some of that ground once they made a deal with Prime Minister Harper to avoid
June 25th, 2009 | Category: Economy, National Results | Leave a comment
[OTTAWA – June 18, 2009] EKOS continues to offer seat projections based on its opinion polling from time to time. The projections are based on national, regional and in some cases sub-regional polling projected onto the results of the last election. They do not pretend to predict individual ridings.
That having been said, the projections do give us some idea what kind of parliament we might expect if an election were held in the
June 19th, 2009 | Category: Seat Projection | Leave a comment
But Liberal momentum may be stalling
[Ottawa – June 18, 2009] – With talk of an election in the air, Michael Ignatieff’s Liberals have retained a razor-thin lead over the Conservatives over the last week’s polling by EKOS, released exclusively to cbc.ca. While the Liberals have opened up a substantial lead in the crucial battleground of Ontario, with the NDP flagging, the national race has tightened.
“The recent trends certainly favour the Liberals over the Conservatives, particularly in Ontario and Quebec, where most of the seats are,” said EKOS President
June 18th, 2009 | Category: National Results | Leave a comment
[OTTAWA – June 11, 2009] – The medium-term trend continues to show a modest lead for the Liberals under the leadership of Michael Ignatieff. Since last week’s results, the Liberals have widened the narrow advantage they have over Stephen Harper’s Conservatives. That said, neither party seems assured of victory in any election in the near future. Moreover, the prospects of a majority parliament remain remote even after three consecutive minorities. The current numbers and evolving trends, however, increasingly favour the Liberals.
June 11th, 2009 | Category: National Results, Provincial Results | Leave a comment
PROBABLY FEELING BETTER ABOUT THE GOVERNMENT TOO…
[OTTAWA – June 2, 2009] – Some Canadians are feeling better about the economy these days, and those who are think that the government is doing a good job managing the economy. This shift may explain a modest improvement in the polls for Stephen Harper’s Conservatives.
This is the latest result released from
June 2nd, 2009 | Category: Economy, National Results, Provincial Results | Leave a comment
WHOSE AHEAD? DEPENDS ON WHO YOU ASK, WHEN YOU ASK. LIBS GET BUMP AFTER DEFICIT NEWS.
[OTTAWA – June 1, 2009] – The largest-ever survey of Canadians’ vote intentions reveals a see-saw race between the ruling Conservatives and the opposition Liberals, shifting as erratically as the morning’s headlines. Most recently, the Liberals received a statistically significant bump after the government’s bad deficit news last week.
June 1st, 2009 | Category: National Results, Provincial Results, Regional Results | Leave a comment
POLITICAL LANDSCAPE
Ignatieff and the Liberals Take Off
Liberals take Significant Lead
[Ottawa – April 15, 2009] Under their new leader, Michael Ignatieff, the federal Liberal Party has vaulted into first place in the race towards the next election, riding renewed strength across the country with the exception of Alberta. In Quebec and Ontario, the party is rising back towards the levels it enjoyed in
April 16th, 2009 | Category: Economy, National Results | Leave a comment
Liberal Minority Now in Play
[OTTAWA – April 16, 2009]
Paul Adams
During the 2008 election, EKOS regularly published seat projections based on its surveys of public opinion. And we are doing this once again with our latest poll, published Thursday, April 16. (NOTE: the CBC, which had the exclusive right to release the results of the public opinion survey did not participate in
April 16th, 2009 | Category: Seat Projection | Leave a comment
Liberals Rejoin Battle Under Gloomy Skies
In an increasingly pessimistic mood about the economy and the Harper government’s handle on it, many Canadians are turning to the Liberal Party, which is now closing in on the ruling Conservatives.
If forced to choose between a Conservative government or a coalition government led by
January 21st, 2009 | Category: Economy, National Results | Leave a comment
Canadians Suffering Obama Envy…But
Canadians share Americans’ enthusiasm for Barack Obama, and wish they had a little bit of his magic up here, but that does not mean that they will follow him anywhere…on a longer mission in Afghanistan, for example. Canadians also have concerns about Obama’s trade policies and the debt he plans to rack up in fighting the recession.
January 19th, 2009 | Category: Special Interest | Comments (1)
Following the prorogation of Parliament yesterday, EKOS Research Associates surveyed a random sample of 1503 Canadians aged 18 and over to find out their views on day’s events.
Highlights:
December 5th, 2008 | Category: Uncategorized | Leave a comment
EKOS Research Associates was commissioned by the CBC to conduct a poll on the current political crisis in Ottawa. The survey was conducted December 2 and 3, 2008 with a random sample of 2536 Canadians aged 18 and over.
Highlights:
December 4th, 2008 | Category: Uncategorized | Leave a comment
EKOS Once Again Top of the Class
[OTTAWA – October 27, 2008] At EKOS, we have now completed the first phase of our internal performance review of the 2008 election. We have some work to do, but are very satisfied with the results, in particular because we pioneered two new methodologies in this election
October 27th, 2008 | Category: National Results, Seat Projection | Leave a comment
EKOS vs. the Actual Results
[OTTAWA – October 15, 2008]
October 15th, 2008 | Category: National Results, Seat Projection | Leave a comment
Canada’s Largest-Ever Political Survey
[OTTAWA – October 13, 2008] – EKOS is proud to present the final tracking poll of the 2008 federal election campaign. With our new IVR methodology, which allows us to gather much larger samples than traditional surveys, we have heard from an unprecedented 41,000 Canadians. In addition, using our unique hybrid online/telephone panel, Probit, we connected with thousands more.
October 14th, 2008 | Category: National Results | Leave a comment
Is Our Projection Better Than Your Guess?
[OTTAWA – October 13, 2008] – Throughout this campaign, EKOS has been offering seat projections based on the results of our EKOS tracking poll. We have repeatedly said when we offered them that seat projections are inherently fraught with more difficulties than surveying
October 13th, 2008 | Category: Seat Projection | Leave a comment
CONSERVATIVES STILL STRUGGLE IN CITIES
[OTTAWA – October 13, 2008] – The Conservatives may well win the election tomorrow, but they are likely to win again without much support in the most economically and socially dynamic places in Canada: the big cities.
October 13th, 2008 | Category: Montreal, Ontario, Quebec, Toronto, Vancouver | Leave a comment
Certainty of Voting in Tuesday’s Election
[OTTAWA – October 13, 2008] – In order to gauge voter commitment, we have been asking Canadians how certain they are to get out and vote on October 14th.
Based on our
October 13th, 2008 | Category: Election Issues | Leave a comment
Conservatives Headed to Victory; Shifts Continue in Ontario and Quebec
[OTTAWA – October 13, 2008] – The Conservatives continue to hold a healthy lead over the Liberals as the Thanksgiving Day weekend nears its close and the start of polling is less than a day away.
October 13th, 2008 | Category: National Results | Leave a comment