EKOS Once Again Top of the Class
[OTTAWA – October 27, 2008] At EKOS, we have now completed the first phase of our internal performance review of the 2008 election. We have some work to do, but are very satisfied with the results, in particular because we pioneered two new methodologies in
Canada’s Largest-Ever Political Survey
[OTTAWA – October 13, 2008] – EKOS is proud to present the final tracking poll of the 2008 federal election campaign. With our new IVR methodology, which allows us to gather much larger samples than traditional surveys, we have heard from an unprecedented 41,000 Canadians. In addition, using our unique hybrid online/telephone panel, Probit, we connected with thousands more.
Is Our Projection Better Than Your Guess?
[OTTAWA – October 13, 2008] – Throughout this campaign, EKOS has been offering seat projections based on the results of our EKOS tracking poll. We have repeatedly said when we offered them that seat projections are inherently fraught with more difficulties than surveying public opinion because small shifts in relative party support can make big differences in seat distribution.
CONSERVATIVES STILL STRUGGLE IN CITIES
[OTTAWA – October 13, 2008] – The Conservatives may well win the election tomorrow, but they are likely to win again without much support in the most economically and socially dynamic places in Canada: the big cities.
“If, as seems
Certainty of Voting in Tuesday’s Election
[OTTAWA – October 13, 2008] – In order to gauge voter commitment, we have been asking Canadians how certain they are to get out and vote on October 14th.
Based on our most
Conservatives Headed to Victory; Shifts Continue in Ontario and Quebec
[OTTAWA – October 13, 2008] – The Conservatives continue to hold a healthy lead over the Liberals as the Thanksgiving Day weekend nears its close and the start of polling is less than a day away.
The See-Saw Rocks Again; Libs Close Gap to Eight Points
[OTTAWA – October 10, 2008] – After a week in which the Conservatives seemed to be fending off the post-debate, post-market crash surge by the Liberals, the race has narrowed once again going into the final weekend before the election.
[OTTAWA – October 10, 2008] There is any idea popularized by the wonderful Mickey Kaus, which he has labelled the “Feiler Faster Thesis”, named after the guy he stole it from. Essentially, Kaus/Feiler argue that the modern news environment has radically shortened the news cycle, but that this is not necessarily a bad thing because we are adjusting to this reality.
Here’s one formulation of the thesis
Tories Once Again Knocking on Door of Majority
[OTTAWA – October 10, 2008] For several days, the EKOS tracking poll has been showing the gap between the Conservatives and the second-place Liberals growing, after a short-lived Liberal surge that came immediately after the debates.
Our EKOS tracking poll covering Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday is the most current available, because it contains data from just three days, not four as other tracking polls have done in
Conservative Lead Grows as Canadians Expect 2nd Harper Government
[OTTAWA – October 9, 2008] – The Conservatives continue to widen their lead over the second place Liberals in the latest EKOS tracking poll, and each day that passes removes a little more potential for fundamental change to the basic pattern of this election, which has held with some ups and downs since the first week.
Tories Fighting Regional Battles But Winning Nationally
[OTTAWA – October 8, 2008] – The Conservatives continue to maintain a significant lead nationally over all the opposition parties, according to the latest EKOS tracking poll, and have a significant lead with some of the most important groups of voters, but they are fighting a series of
Conservatives Retain Significant Lead
[OTTAWA – October 7, 2008] – The Conservatives continue to track towards re-election, albeit not necessarily the majority they wished for at the outset of the campaign. Quebec remains a huge disappointment for the Conservatives, where they trail the Bloc Québécois by a seemingly insurmountable margin. And the battle for Ontario
Television Still King
[OTTAWA – October 7, 2008] – For all the talk of new media and the high-impact role they are playing in this political campaign, the fact is television is king, as it has been for nearly half a century.
Liberals Narrow Gap as Tories Ebb in Ontario & Falter in Quebec
[OTTAWA – October 6, 2008] – The Liberals have narrowed the gap with the Conservatives nationally on the strength of a resurgence in Ontario and east, and the Conservatives continuing weakness in Quebec. The latest EKOS tracking poll shows the Liberals seven percentage
Small Fluctuations Can Make Big Differences in Seats
[OTTAWA – October 6, 2008] – It’s a nail-biter. We are entering a stage in the election campaign when small regional fluctuations in support could make huge differences to the futures of the parties and their leaders. In a universe where there
Race Unshaken By the Debates
[OTTAWA – October 5, 2008] – The leaders’ debates this past week appear to have failed to shake up the election race, despite what some regarded as effective performances by opposition party leaders.
The Conservatives continue to track towards victory, with a potential increase in seats, but at the moment likely short of a majority. The Liberals remain well behind.
More and more voters say they have made up their minds
Conservatives Tantalizingly Close to Majority
[OTTAWA – October 3, 2008] – We offer this seat projection, based on our latest EKOS tracking poll, released earlier today.
According to today’s figures, the CPC is poised for victory. Although the predicted 152 seats means the Conservatives are still shy of
Tories Once Again Knocking on the Door of a Majority
[OTTAWA – October 3, 2008] – Based on a large rolling sample of over 3,000 cases, we are seeing some modest shifts in what is a relatively placid political landscape.
The Tories (at 36% nationally) are edging up towards the edge of majority status once again, as they now enjoy a 12 point lead over the moribund LPC (who are currently sitting
Deep Ambivalence About Polls, Despite Increased Consumption & Use
HIGHLIGHTS:
-> Polls are increasingly used for strategic voting (by as many as 1 in 5)
We launched this website in order to showcase our election research, and our suite of polling technologies including PROBIT© and IVR. We will be updating this site frequently with new polls, analysis and insight into Canadian politics. EKOS's experience, knowledge and sophisticated research designs have contributed positively to many previous elections.
For media inquires, please contact:
Frank Graves
President
EKOS Research Associates
t: 613.235-7215
fgraves@ekos.com