About EKOS Politics

We launched this website in order to showcase our election research, and our suite of polling technologies including Probit and IVR. We will be updating this site frequently with new polls, analysis and insight into Canadian politics. EKOS's experience, knowledge and sophisticated research designs have contributed positively to many previous elections.

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In addition to current political analysis, EKOS also makes available to the public general research of interest, including research in evaluation, general public domain research, as well as a full history of EKOS press releases.

Media Inquires

For media inquires, please contact: Frank Graves President EKOS Research Associates t: 613.235-7215 [email protected]

CONSERVATIVES EDGE INTO LEAD, LIBERALS SLUMP ON ELECTION THREAT AND IMPROVING ECONOMY – June 25, 2009

Ontario Now Dead Heat

[Ottawa – June 25, 2009] – The Conservative Party has edged ahead of the Liberal Party after months of lagging behind, according to the latest EKOS poll, released exclusively to cbc.ca.

The Liberal Party and its leader, Michael Ignatieff, appear to have paid a price for threatening to take the country to the polls this summer. EKOS’ daily tracking shows that they nose-dived after making the threat last week. Although the Liberals may have recovered some of that ground once they made a deal with Prime

EKOS SEAT PROJECTION AND ANALYSIS – June 18, 2009

[OTTAWA – June 18, 2009] EKOS continues to offer seat projections based on its opinion polling from time to time. The projections are based on national, regional and in some cases sub-regional polling projected onto the results of the last election. They do not pretend to predict individual ridings.

That having been said, the projections do give us some idea what kind of parliament we might expect if an election were

LIBERALS RETAIN NARROW NATIONAL LEAD – June 18, 2009

But Liberal momentum may be stalling

[Ottawa – June 18, 2009] – With talk of an election in the air, Michael Ignatieff’s Liberals have retained a razor-thin lead over the Conservatives over the last week’s polling by EKOS, released exclusively to cbc.ca. While the Liberals have opened up a substantial lead in the crucial battleground of Ontario, with the NDP flagging, the national race has tightened.

CLOSE RACE WITH EVIDENCE OF A MODEST LIBERAL ADVANTAGE EMERGING – June 11, 2009

[OTTAWA – June 11, 2009] – The medium-term trend continues to show a modest lead for the Liberals under the leadership of Michael Ignatieff. Since last week’s results, the Liberals have widened the narrow advantage they have over Stephen Harper’s Conservatives. That said, neither party seems assured of victory in any election in the near future. Moreover, the prospects of a majority parliament remain remote even after three consecutive minorities. The current numbers and evolving trends, however, increasingly favour the Liberals.

FEELING BETTER ABOUT THE ECONOMY? – JUNE 2, 2009

PROBABLY FEELING BETTER ABOUT THE GOVERNMENT TOO…

[OTTAWA – June 2, 2009] – Some Canadians are feeling better about the economy these days, and those who are think that the government is doing a good job managing the economy. This shift may explain a modest improvement in the polls for Stephen Harper’s Conservatives.

This is

MASSIVE POLL OF CANADIANS – JUNE 1, 2009

WHOSE AHEAD? DEPENDS ON WHO YOU ASK, WHEN YOU ASK. LIBS GET BUMP AFTER DEFICIT NEWS.

[OTTAWA – June 1, 2009] – The largest-ever survey of Canadians’ vote intentions reveals a see-saw race between the ruling Conservatives and the opposition Liberals, shifting as erratically as the morning’s headlines. Most recently, the Liberals received a statistically significant bump after the government’s bad deficit news last week.