HARPER/LAYTON SHOULD STAY, IGNATIEFF SHOULD GO, CANADIANS SAY

[Ottawa – October 29, 2009] – Stephen Harper’s federal Conservatives lead the second-place Liberals by a double-digit margin for the fourth week in a row, suggesting that the neck-and-neck race between the two major parties in the spring and summer has now been displaced by a new pattern of relative Conservative dominance.

“This is not a blip,” said EKOS President Frank Graves. “The Tories streaked into their current lead when the Liberals started threatening an early election in the late fall. However, they are now standing up despite negative news reports about the distribution… [More...]

Posted on October 29th, 2009 under National Results. Comments: 1

CANADIANS WANT MAJORITY: BUT LIBERAL OR CONSERVATIVE?

[Ottawa – October 22, 2009] – Canada’s two leading parties are now back almost to where they were in the last election, held a year ago this month. The Conservatives are tantalizingly close to majority territory, but possibly just short. The Liberals are mired at less than 30% - at a level that is near to their historic low.

“In the first two weeks of this month, the Conservatives tipped into comfortable majority territory, but the scales are so delicately balanced that even a slight tightening of the race, as we have seen this week… [More...]

Posted on October 22nd, 2009 under National Results. Comments: 7

[Ottawa – October 15, 2009] – From time to time, EKOS releases seat projections based on our weekly soundings of Canadians’ voting intentions.

There has been a dramatic shift in the Canadian political landscape in recent months. During the summer, the Liberals gradually gave up the advantage they had enjoyed over the Conservatives during most of the spring; but even as recently as our first weekly poll in September, the two leading parties were in an exact tie, at 32.6% each.

That seems like a long time ago. The Liberals have now dipped to historic lows… [More...]

Posted on October 15th, 2009 under Seat Projection. Comments: 3

Canadians less pessimistic about economy/more conservative about government spending

Following last week’s movement upward in the polls, Canada’s federal Conservatives have solidified an impressive, potentially majority-producing lead among Canadians, with the Liberals now mired at the same historic lows under Michael Ignatieff that they suffered under former leader Stéphane Dion.

Meanwhile, Canadians are getting more optimistic – or at least less pessimistic

Posted on October 15th, 2009 under National Results. Comments: None

Liberals at lowest ebb since Ignatieff became leader

[Ottawa – October 8, 2009] – Stephen Harper’s Conservatives could win a majority if an election were held right now, having erased the Liberal Party’s lead among women, the university educated, and Canadians born abroad – demographic groups that were until recently firmly in the Liberals’ domain.

Posted on October 8th, 2009 under National Results. Comments: 1