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LIBERAL GROWTH/TORY DECLINE UNAFFECTED BY HAITI – January 28, 2010

SIGN THAT SHIFT MAY BE STRUCTURAL

[Ottawa – January 28, 2010] – For the second week in a row, the opposition Liberals are in a dead heat with the ruling Conservatives – now nominally ahead, in fact – a sign that the government’s adroit handling of the Haiti crisis has not reversed its steady decline in voters’ favour, which began mid-autumn.

“There is no evidence that the government’s actions on Haiti are providing any relief in the Conservatives’ decline from clear dominance of the political landscape in October to basic parity with the Liberals today,” said EKOS President Frank Graves. “At this stage it is probably safe to say that despite considerable initial confusion over whether the government’s problems were ephemeral or structural the evidence is that there has been a significant shift.”

The Liberals’ resurgence is being powered to a substantial degree by a turnaround in Ontario, long the party’s stronghold, but one that had been turned over to the Conservatives through the fall. The Liberals have also emerged as the clear federalist alternative in Quebec, and are edging up in British Columbia.

At the same time, the Liberals have been gradually winning support among middle-aged baby-boomers and even among seniors – significant because these groups are more likely to vote than younger people. The Liberals have also recovered their lead among groups such as women, New Canadians and the university educated, which are key to their success.

“We have seen public opinion reverse itself a couple of times in the last year, so it would be a mistake to say that any trend is irreversible,” said Graves. “However, the fact that prorogation backfired on the government, and that its response to Haiti has been well-received but has not translated into support for the Conservative party, suggests there may be some sturdiness to these trends.”

“Certainly, it would be a mistake to assume that extensive coverage of the Olympics in coming weeks will bring the government relief simply by distracting voters,” he added.

This poll is one of a series conducted for exclusive release by the CBC.

Click here for the full report: full_report_january_28

5 comments to LIBERAL GROWTH/TORY DECLINE UNAFFECTED BY HAITI – January 28, 2010

  • Dave

    Nobody is absolutly perfect. PM Harper is doing an outstanding job at keeping this country on top. We have faired better than any other country over the last few years and it is due to his realistic views and values. Layton and Ignatief will do and say whatever it takes to get ahead as long as they feel that Canadians are biting. PM Harper is acting in the best interest of Canadians, believe it or not!

  • Jessica

    “We have faired better than any other country over the last few years” due to the Harper government inheritance of balanced budgets and a regulated banking system , left behind by Paul Martin’s financial astuteness. Harper’s “realistic views and values” had nothing to do with it.

  • dave / jessica. cant you see how long harpers nose is getting? its not from telling the truth.

  • bruno

    I think that Canadians are seeing a pttern with Harper. He does not tolerate any criticism and will do all he can to stop it. E.g. firing watchdogs, cutting the budget of the budget watchdog, cutting funds for political parties when he knew that this would kill the oppostion, proroguing parliament, etc. This is not healthy for a democracy and Canadians are starting to realise this more and more. He is dangerous!

  • Neil

    I am pleased that Harper’s dictate to prorogue parliament has not gone unnoticed by Canadians. I do hope however that more attention is focused on Harper’s assumptions that Canadians are more interested in the economy and jobs than they are in Canada’s handling of Afghanistan detainees. Former prime ministers have spoken of Canadians as being generous, brave, just and so on. Harper envisions Canadians as being self serving, and greedy people who are disinterested in human rights, global law and justice. Historically, leaders who have displayed contempt for human rights and justice, have placed corresponding value on power, jobs and the economy. These leaders have engineered some of the world’s greatest atrocities. Pierre Trudeau wrote in Towards a Just Society “war…was not the greatest of evils, nor peace the ultimate good: ‘for the most important thing is justice; and we must sometimes take arms to defend it.'” One wonders how Mr. Trudeau would have reacted to the shutting down of parliament and its efforts to deal with international law and justice concerning Afghan detainees. While Canadians have faired better than most economically speaking, I’m not sure Harper deserves the credit for the strength of our economy. I recall Harper denying there was even going to be a recession just months before the major crash. I am sure that sacrificing: justice, openness, accountability, civil rights, the environment, and now effective democratic government is not worth an economy that may well have been built by previous governments. Time for a change!