LIBS STALL/TORIES RISE
[Ottawa – February 25, 2010] – After several weeks in which Canada’s two major parties have been neck-and-neck, Stephen Harper’s Conservatives have opened up a three percentage point lead over the Liberals. The shift, though small, puts the Conservatives back in comfortable minority-government territory if an election were held.
“The Liberals rode the dissatisfaction with the government over Afghan detainees, Copenhagen and prorogation back into contention after what was for them a disastrous early fall,” said EKOS President Frank Graves. “However, they have not had been able to find the leadership or the message to build on that momentum. Meanwhile, the government, with the Haiti crisis and the
Olympics dominating the media, has managed to stay away from trouble in the public eye, and some of their traditional supporters are drifting back to them.”
Nationally, the Liberals have not slipped in support from their peak of recent weeks. However, the Conservatives have been making modest gains.
The Conservatives are now essentially tied with the Liberals in seat-rich Ontario. The Liberals are very competitive – slightly ahead in fact – among voters under 45 years of age. However, the Conservatives have a significant edge among older Canadians, a somewhat larger group.
The Liberals are ahead among the university educated and those born outside of Canada, but in most other demographic categories — including women, for example — the Tories are tied or leading.
This EKOS poll is one of a series with very robust sample sizes conducted for exclusive release by the CBC.
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