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TORIES EKE OUT NARROW EDGE – February 11, 2010

OPPOSITION SUPPORTERS WANT EARLY ELECTION; TORY SUPPORTERS WANT TO WAIT

[Ottawa – February 11, 2010] – The federal Conservatives have gotten a small reprieve in this week’s EKOS poll, after months of sliding backwards, then into a tie with the Liberal Party. The Conservatives now have a small, but statistically significant lead over their chief opposition rival.

“The Conservatives should be heartened by the fact that the bleeding has clearly stopped and that the issues of Afghan detainees and prorogation have exhausted themselves,” said EKOS President, Frank Graves. “However, a growing plurality of Canadians now feel the government is headed in the wrong direction, and that feeling is most pronounced in Canada’s three largest provinces – British Columbia, Ontario, and Quebec – each of which is a key electoral battleground.”

The poll of more than 3000 Canadians – one of a series of large-sample surveys conducted for exclusive release by the CBC – shows that Canadians are deeply divided over whether there should be an early election.

While slightly more Canadians prefer an election by the end of this year to waiting until the government’s four-year mandate is over in 2012, the question of election timing is sharply divided along party lines.

Not surprisingly, well over two-thirds of Tory supporters want the government to serve a full mandate. On the other hand, nearly two-thirds of Liberals want an election by the end of this year or even sooner. A majority of other opposition supporters feel the same way.

This poll also examined the question of voters’ second choices among the parties. Interestingly, a majority of Conservative supporters said they had no second choice – a measure of the alienation these voters feel towards the opposition parties.

Although most opposition party supporters were able to express a second choice, relatively few pick the Conservative Party – more evidence of political polarization among the electorate. Liberal and NDP supporters were most likely to choose each other’s party as their second choice. Bloc Québécois supporters favour the NDP and the Greens over the Liberals, and in last place, the Conservatives.

Click here for the full report: full_report_february_11

3 comments to TORIES EKE OUT NARROW EDGE – February 11, 2010

  • wes anderson

    ” a little thing like the Olmymics will not change anything. A LITTLE THING ,A LITTLE THING< you are a babbling idiot. Quotes from you on little evan’s show.

  • Naveed

    Well that is an interesting poll, and it proves that Harper always tends to bounce back, no matter his partianship and one-track, undemocratic tendencies.
    However it also proves that it is too close to call right now, and if an election were to occur today, the result could still be a Liberal win.
    I think the Liberals will have the momentum in the near future, despite Harpers bouncing back tendency, and the Olympics will not really be a great factor in the Conservatives favour, though it will help
    Canadians need to remember. An undemocratic, secretive, dictatorial government last month is still one today and tomorrow. Time to have a change in government, and the sooner the better.

  • G Nam

    Naveed,
    Mr. Harper will share his fate with Mr. Obama. An election call before the fall of 2010 is likely to repeat the Iggy fiasco of 2009. Ultimately, the political fate of those two will depend on the state of economy by the end of 2010.