About EKOS Politics

We launched this website in order to showcase our election research, and our suite of polling technologies including Probit and IVR. We will be updating this site frequently with new polls, analysis and insight into Canadian politics. EKOS's experience, knowledge and sophisticated research designs have contributed positively to many previous elections.

Other EKOS Products

In addition to current political analysis, EKOS also makes available to the public general research of interest, including research in evaluation, general public domain research, as well as a full history of EKOS press releases.

Media Inquires

For media inquires, please contact: Frank Graves President EKOS Research Associates t: 613.235-7215 [email protected]

CHANGE TO EKOS REPORTING SCHEDULE – June 29, 2010

[Ottawa – June 29, 2010] EKOS Research Associates would like to announce that during the summer months, we will be returning to bi-weekly reporting on vote intention. Our next vote intention poll will be released on July 8th and we will continue to report every two weeks after that.

Reporting on federal vote intention every second week will allow us to augment our sample size, allowing for even more robust regional samples… [More...]

THE PAST PARLIAMENTARY YEAR IN REVIEW: PUBLIC PERSPECTIVES – June 24, 2010

COMMENTS AND OBSERVATIONS BY FRANK GRAVES

[Ottawa – June 24, 2010] – One way of looking at the current political landscape is to compare relative political fortunes today with those at the outset of parliament in the fall. Think of this as a melodrama in several distinct chapters:

CHAPTER ONE: HARPERMANIA!

Stephen Harper delivers a compelling Michael Bublé impersonation at the National Arts Centre and soars to clear majority territory.

Michael Ignatieff tries a Trudeauesque gunslinger showdown with Harper by threatening election but the Trudeau redux manoeuvre leaves him gasping in the dust 15 points down… [More...]

VOTER INTENTIONS APPEAR LOCKED INTO A CONFUSED PATTERN AS SUMMER RECESS BEGINS – June 24, 2010

[Ottawa – June 24, 2010] – There is little to distinguish the most recent poll from a pattern which appears to be increasingly locked in. With the summer now here, stingy voters have no clear choice as to who should rule if there were to be an election now.

The Conservatives are hanging on to a very narrow margin of advantage, which barely exceeds the margin of error of the poll. Worse, at 31 points, they are decisively down from the last election and well short of the majority territory they found themselves in last fall. The cumulative effects… [More...]

COMMENTS AND OBSERVATIONS BY FRANK GRAVES – June 17, 2010

[Ottawa – June 17, 2010] – What a mess! An increasingly muddled political landscape has few points of clarity. Perhaps the only clear conclusion we can draw from the most recent poll and the marked patterns of recent trajectory is that Canadians have no party which would come even close to achieving a plausible mandate from an ever more disgruntled and fragmented electorate. It is difficult to imagine how a hobbled 116 seat strong Conservative Party could achieve, let alone sustain, parliamentary confidence (or public confidence). The enfeebled Liberals are even further away from anything resembling a mandate to rule… [More...]

COMMENTS AND OBSERVATIONS BY FRANK GRAVES – June 10, 2010

[Ottawa – June 10, 2010] – The new poll, and the recent trajectory behind it, suggest a quite different political landscape than even 3 weeks ago. Although the changes have been slight, the strategic implications of the differences are profound. The Conservatives have slipped from being clearly in the driver’s seat to riding shotgun with scant distance between them and their pursuers. Moreover, the recent trajectory has cast them in the new role of a floundering party.

Perhaps the most troubling feature of this poll for the Conservatives are the directional numbers. Confidence in national direction has been steadily… [More...]

TORIES LOWEST SINCE ACHIEVING GOVERNMENT – June 17, 2010

LOWEST EVER SCORE FOR DIRECTION OF FEDERAL GOVERNMENT

[Ottawa – June 17, 2010] – In a virtually unprecedented political landscape, no federal party can break the rather humble 30.5 percent level. As a vivid indicator of the temper of the times, the electorate have bestowed the lowest ever rating of federal direction. It is not the “statistical” significance of the modest week to week fluctuations which is interesting; it is the overall trajectory and patterns of the last several weeks which are revealing. These patterns are highly significant and paint a rather bleak picture for both the Liberals and… [More...]

RECENT TRENDS CONTINUE AS CPC LEAD SHRINKS TO LESS THAN FIVE POINTS – June 10, 2010

DIRECTION OF FEDERAL GOVERNMENT TIES RECORD LOW POINT

[Ottawa – June 10, 2010] – In an often repeated pattern, we see the electorate gently recoiling after bestowing a large lead on the Conservative Party. This has produced a much tighter race. We are also seeing a continued decline in confidence in the direction of the federal government, which is now in sub-40 territory.

These patterns are clearly worrisome trends for the government. Although the Liberal Party continues to be stuck at very low levels, the recent trajectory for the Conservatives has seen them move out of the range… [More...]

CONSERVATIVES SLIP BACK BELOW ONE-THIRD OF ELECTORATE – June 3, 2010

LIBS MIRED IN MID-20S; NDP COMPETITIVE IN SOME REGIONS; GREENS MAY MAKE B.C. FOUR-WAY RACE

[Ottawa – June 3, 2010] – After a small and short-lived surge above the 33% mark which has been elusive for all the parties in 2010, the ruling Conservatives have slipped back into the doldrums in this week’s EKOS tracking poll.

However, there is not much comfort in the poll for the opposition Liberals who remain stuck in the mid-twenties, near to their worst-ever election performance (in terms of votes) in 2008.

“There has been a lot of buzz lately about Jack… [More...]