[Ottawa – December 16, 2010] – In our final poll of 2010, both lead parties have fallen back slightly. The Liberals appear to have fallen further, but none of these changes are of much significance in a log jammed political landscape.
The Conservatives are ending the year at 32.0 points, virtually tied with their 2010 average of 32.2 per cent. Nevertheless, they enjoy a significant but modest lead of 5.5 points over the moribund Liberals who, at 26.5 points, are at their lowest levels of support since July.
The Conservative Party’s lead is largely built on a better… [More...]
NOTES ON INTERPRETING POLL RESULTS – December 8, 2010
COMMENTS AND OBSERVATIONS BY FRANK GRAVES
[Ottawa – December 8, 2010] – In reporting on our past couple of polls, our favourite polling blogster, Kady O’Malley, has raised some legitimate questions about the credibility of our next to last poll (released November 11th). The basic argument was that the statistical tie wasn’t credible and that our most recent poll results (November 25th) showing a six point lead was “more like it”. We would like to respectfully respond to the question of whether or not this was a fair assessment.
The main evidence Kady offered was that large and… [More...]