[Ottawa – February 23, 2011] – In an interesting but not entirely surprising movement, the race has tightened back to the locked in pattern of last year in one fell swoop. The Conservatives have bled nearly five points of support back to 32.4 and the Liberals have moved up more slightly to 27.3. But a 12.5 point lead is now 5.1 points, which is a huge and highly significant shift (well beyond mere “noise”).
Based on 2,811 cases, there has been a whiplash-like reversal to the last poll’s near Conservative majority. Therein may lie the explanation. Not only our poll, but… [More...]