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EKOS Seat Projection – April 11, 2011

[OTTAWA – April 11, 2011] From time to time, EKOS offers seat projections based on its opinion polling. The projections are based on national, regional and, in some cases, sub-regional polling projected onto the results of the last election. They do not pretend to predict individual ridings.

Click here for the full report: seat_projection_april_11_2011

3 comments to EKOS Seat Projection – April 11, 2011

  • David

    Good day,

    This is the second seat projection in a row where you have the Conservatives shut out of the Arctic. What makes you think the health minister is going to be voted out? I thought she was quite popular?

    Thanks

  • I can’t pretend to understand their methodology, either, but they’re probably just looking at the polls and extrapolating. They warn right up front that this can’t be used to predict the outcome of individual ridings.

    However, in the Arctic, the Conservative health minister, while quite popular, still has a fight on her hands for her seat. She won it by a hair’s breadth the last time, and this time the Liberals have scored the former premier she worked under in order to challenge her.

  • Okay, maybe not a hair’s breadth (you can see the 2008 results here, but it was a decent three-way race. If the NDP vote plummets in this riding, it could be enough to hand it to the Liberal.