[Ottawa – July 13, 2012] – Although the horserace polling has been less frenzied than in 2011, there have been a number of polls out suggesting shifts in voter intention and why these might be occurring. In this release, we try and take a more macro perspective as to what has changed since the last election and drill down to identify exactly where those movements have occurred. We do not think the week to week movements are meaningful at this stage and we also believe that much of the narrative explaining these putative shifts is mostly conjecture rather than empirically… [More...]