BIG BOLD CHANGES CAN FIX A SYSTEM OFTEN SEEN AS INCONVENIENT; MOST DOUBT GOVERNMENTS PUT THE NEEDS OF PEOPLE AHEAD OF POLITICS; MOST EXPECT PUBLIC TRANSIT WORKERS TO BE PART OF THE CONVERSATION
[Ottawa – June 28, 2016] EKOS Research Associates, on behalf of ATU Canada, has completed a scientific survey of n=2,045 adults in the GTHA to provide an essential benchmark on how the public views the current state of public transit in the region and what they expect in the years ahead.
Remarkably, public transit stands at the pinnacle of issues of public concern for residents of the GTHA, an unusual result that highlights the singular importance of the issue to the region. Over half (52%) mention public transit as a key issue for the provincial and municipal governments to focus on, outpacing other issues more typically seen as top priorities, including the economy and jobs (46%), health care (44%) and cost of living (44%).
Despite the salience attached to public transit, public satisfaction with it may best be characterized as “tepid,” rather than “awful.” Fewer than half of residents (46%) say they are satisfied with public transit in their area, with only 7% saying they are “very satisfied.” Meanwhile, one in three (32%) say they are dissatisfied with public transit in their area.
The study reveals profound regional disparities in satisfaction with public transit, ranging from a high of 54% in Toronto to a low of 27% in the Halton Region. This suggests that access to service largely depends on where one lives.
Among various aspects of the public transit system, GTHA residents express the highest levels of satisfaction with respect to comfort and safety (65% satisfied; 10% dissatisfied) and public transit workers (51% satisfied; 11% dissatisfied). Satisfaction is lower with respect to convenience (47% satisfied; 33% dissatisfied), reliability (48% satisfied; 24% dissatisfied), frequency (44% satisfied; 34% dissatisfied), and, cost (38% satisfied; 33% dissatisfied).
Dissatisfaction with transit is driven by perceptions of inconvenience and a lack of frequency. Those who are dissatisfied with public transit are most often dissatisfied with convenience (74% dissatisfied) and frequency (70% dissatisfied).
The public clearly opt for an approach to transit that is bold and transformative, with an overwhelming majority saying they prefer big changes to make the system work better in the long run (84%) rather than basic improvements to improve service in the short term (44%).
While the public appetite for big changes seems well suited to The Big Move, the province’s $50 billion transportation infrastructure plan, awareness of the plan is fairly low. Just two in five (42%) say they’ve heard something about it, while 48% say they haven’t and an additional 10% don’t know enough to answer the question. Those aware of the Big Move are nearly twice as likely to say it’s heading in the right direction (54%) than to say it’s off on the wrong track (23%). However, even among those who have heard of the Big Move, 23% don’t know enough to have formed an opinion.
There is broad optimism that transit will improve, but this is tempered by significant skepticism about the extent to which transit issues have become a political football. GTHA residents are much more likely to say transit in the area is getting better (42%) than worse (18%). However, when asked whether public transit is getting better for “me and my family,” respondents are far less sanguine, with 29% agreeing it will get better and 32% saying it won’t. Few have faith that the people in government who are responsible for public transit will put the needs of ordinary people ahead of politics when it comes to making the system better (just 21% agree with this idea compared to 64% who disagree).
The public want all of the key players – from the Government of Ontario and municipal governments, to Metrolinx and the TTC – to make the bold vision for transit happen. As they do, the results suggest that public transit workers can play an important role in restoring public confidence that changes to the transit system will work for everyone. Nearly two in three (63%) agree that public transit workers should be included in conversations about the future of public transit, compared to 19% who disagree.
Frank Graves, President, EKOS Research Associates
Paul Thorp, President, ATU Canada
About ATU Canada:
Established in 2015, ATU Canada is the strong national voice for the Amalgamated Transit Union in Canada on all issues of Canadian interest including legislation, political, educational, health and safety, cultural and social welfare matters. For more information: http://atucanada.ca
About EKOS Research Associates:
Founded in 1980, EKOS Research Associates is Canada’s premier social and political opinion research firm. We conduct best-in-class quantitative and qualitative research on behalf of government, non-profit and private sector clients in Canada and internationally. For more information: ekos.com
The article draws on data collected through two separate surveys. Both studies were conducted using EKOS’ unique, hybrid online/telephone research panel, Probit. Our panel offers exhaustive coverage of the Canadian population (i.e., Internet, phone, cell phone), random recruitment (in other words, participants are recruited randomly, they do not opt themselves into our panel), and equal probability sampling. All respondents to our panel are recruited by telephone using random digit dialling and are confirmed by live interviewers. Unlike opt-in online panels, Probit supports margin of error estimates. We believe this to be the only probability-based online panel in Canada.
The field dates for this survey are May 26 – June 6, 2016. In total, a random sample of 2,045 Canadian adults aged 18 and over responded to the survey. The margin of error associated with the total sample is +/- 2.2 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
Please note that the margin of error increases when the results are sub-divided (i.e., error margins for sub-groups such as region, sex, age, education). All the data have been statistically weighted by age, gender, region, and educational attainment to ensure the sample’s composition reflects that of the actual population of Canada according to Census data.
Click here for a PDF copy of this report: ATU Release (June 28, 2016)