About EKOS Politics

We launched this website in order to showcase our election research, and our suite of polling technologies including Probit and IVR. We will be updating this site frequently with new polls, analysis and insight into Canadian politics. EKOS's experience, knowledge and sophisticated research designs have contributed positively to many previous elections.

Other EKOS Products

In addition to current political analysis, EKOS also makes available to the public general research of interest, including research in evaluation, general public domain research, as well as a full history of EKOS press releases.

Media Inquires

For media inquires, please contact: Frank Graves President EKOS Research Associates t: 613.235-7215 [email protected]

ONTARIO LIBERALS HOLD SMALL BUT STATISTICALLY SIGNIFICANT LEAD – September 27, 2011

UNDERLYING DEMOGRAPHIC PATTERNS SUGGEST MCGUINTY POISED TO CAPTURE SOME FORM OF GOVERNMENT

[Ottawa – September 27, 2011] – With barely a week to go until the 40th Ontario general election, McGuinty’s Liberals have a slight but statistically significant lead over Hudak’s Progressive Conservative Party (34.9 to 31.4). Horwath and the NDP, meanwhile, are further back at 24.7 points.

In what may appear to be a fairly tight three-way race, the underlying demographic patterns and levels of emotional engagement may provide clues as to how voters will behave on election day. First, the demographic pluses which carved a majority… [More...]

DECISIVE OPPOSITION TO CANADA’S AFGHANISTAN MISSION – July 16, 2009

LIBERALS AND TORIES STUCK IN DEAD HEAT, WATCHED BY A MAINLY INDIFFERENT PUBLIC

[Ottawa – July 16, 2009] – Canadians have turned decisively against Canada’s participation in the military mission in Afghanistan, according to the latest weekly poll conducted by EKOS Research Associates exclusively for release on CBC.ca.

“We have been polling on this question since the mission began,” said EKOS President Frank Graves. “The public outlook on Afghanistan has undergone a steady and radical transformation. From overwhelming public support at

CLOSE RACE WITH EVIDENCE OF A MODEST LIBERAL ADVANTAGE EMERGING – June 11, 2009

[OTTAWA – June 11, 2009] – The medium-term trend continues to show a modest lead for the Liberals under the leadership of Michael Ignatieff. Since last week’s results, the Liberals have widened the narrow advantage they have over Stephen Harper’s Conservatives. That said, neither party seems assured of victory in any election in the near future. Moreover, the prospects of a majority parliament remain remote even after three consecutive minorities. The current numbers and evolving trends, however, increasingly favour the Liberals.

FEELING BETTER ABOUT THE ECONOMY? – JUNE 2, 2009

PROBABLY FEELING BETTER ABOUT THE GOVERNMENT TOO…

[OTTAWA – June 2, 2009] – Some Canadians are feeling better about the economy these days, and those who are think that the government is doing a good job managing the economy. This shift may explain a modest improvement in the polls for Stephen Harper’s Conservatives.

This is

MASSIVE POLL OF CANADIANS – JUNE 1, 2009

WHOSE AHEAD? DEPENDS ON WHO YOU ASK, WHEN YOU ASK. LIBS GET BUMP AFTER DEFICIT NEWS.

[OTTAWA – June 1, 2009] – The largest-ever survey of Canadians’ vote intentions reveals a see-saw race between the ruling Conservatives and the opposition Liberals, shifting as erratically as the morning’s headlines. Most recently, the Liberals received a statistically significant bump after the government’s bad deficit news last week.

DAILY TRACKING

EKOS ELECTION.COM – September 2008

NEW DEMOCRATS CLOSING ON LIBERALS

[September 16, 2008] The latest rolling poll from EKOS Research Associates shows the New Democrats now within striking distance of overtaking the Liberal Party as the second week of campaigning is underway.

“This change has been taking place in small increments, day after day since the prospect of an election loomed at the end of August,” said EKOS President Frank Graves. “The Liberals have gradually slipped from the high 20s into the low 20s. The New

LIBERALS FAILING TO CLOSE THE GAP, BUT TORY MAJORITY SLIPPING AWAY

EKOS ELECTION.COM – September 2008

Federal Voting Intentions – Weekend Roll-Up

HIGHLIGHTS

National federal vote intention: CPC 35%, Liberal 25%, NDP 19%, Green Party 11%, and the BQ 9%.

Please note that the methodology and detailed tables of these and other results discussed in this release are provided at the end of this document.

[OTTAWA – September 14, 2008] – Stephen Harper’s Conservatives continue to enjoy a yawning gap in popular support

CANADIANS ANXIOUS AS ELECTION BEGINS

EKOS ELECTION.COM – September 2008

Tory Support Confident; Others Anxious

HIGHLIGHTS

45% of Canadians say the country is moving in the right direction; 37% say the wrong direction.

Conservative supporters overwhelmingly positive about the direction of the country.

Discontent among opposition party supporters, with women, Ontarians, British Columbians and Quebeckers about evenly split.

Anxieties about the current economy and the future environment.

ELECTION HARPER’S TO LOSE

EKOS ELECTION.COM – September 2008

Timely Harper Election Call Yields Formidable Advantages for the CPC – Including Weak Liberal Leadership

HIGHLIGHTS

National federal vote intention among decided voters: CPC 37%, LPC 24%, NDP 19%, Green Party 10%, and the BQ 6%

Conservatives also have the leadership advantage with Harper seen as “best Prime Minister” (32%), followed by Layton (19%); Dion is a distant third (12%)

Similar scores are given for leader