Special thanks go to Earl Washburn and Graham Pressey, who were the principal investigators in creating this seat forecast.
[Ottawa – October 19, 2015] With just hours to go until the polls close, EKOS is offering a seat projection based on what we believe to be perhaps the strongest riding prediction model extant at this time. We have been constantly refining our model which is populated with the nearly 130,000 cases we have collected since January. We have made a number of qualitative adjustments based on each riding’s history and candidates.
Before digging into the numbers, we would like to provide two very important caveats:
- Our model assumes that our final numbers are accurate. There were a lot of last minute movements, particularly in Quebec. For example, our final poll had the Liberals at 36 points. However, the Liberals were clearly on an upward trend at the time our final poll was conducted and they could easily find themselves a few points higher this evening. With the large number of three- and four-way races in this country, a difference of one or two points could easily translate to a difference of 10 or 20 seats.
- There are a lot of close calls in Quebec. Many Quebec ridings are tight four-way races, meaning that many of these seats will be won with less than 30 per cent of the vote. With margins this thin, there is a very wide margin for error in terms of final seat tally. Also, there were a lot of late movements in the province, including a last minute surge in support for the Bloc Québécois.
Our final projected seat tallies are as follows:
LIBERAL |
CONSERVATIVE |
NDP |
BQ |
GREEN |
151 |
116 |
54 |
16 |
1 |
Notable potential losses:
At this stage, we believe that all five major party leaders are positioned to win their home ridings (although Gilles Duceppe faces a very tight race in his riding of Laurier—Sainte-Marie). There are, however, a number of incumbents who are not likely to win their seats this evening. Some of these notable losses include:
Conservative Party:
- Bernard Valcourt, Minister of Aboriginal Affairs and Northern Development, Madawaska — Restigouche, MB
- Chris Alexander, Minister of Citizenship and Immigration, Ajax, ON
- Gail Shea, Minister of Fisheries and Oceans, Egmont, PEI
- Greg Rickford, Minister of Natural Resources, Kenora, ON
- Joe Oliver, Minister of Finance, Eglinton—Lawrence, ON
- Julian Fantino, Minister of National Defence, Vaughan—Woodbridge, ON
- Keith Ashfield, Fredericton, NB
- Leona Aglukkaq, Minister of the Environment, Nunavut
- Paul Calandra, Parliamentary Secretary to the Prime Minister, Markham—Stouffville, ON
New Democratic Party:
- Françoise Boivin, Gatineau, QC
- John Rafferty, Thunder Bay—Rainy River, ON
- Maria Mourani, Ahuntsic-Cartierville, QC
- Megan Leslie, Halifax, NS
- Nycole Turmel, Hull—Aylmer, QC
- Pat Martin, Winnipeg Centre, MB
- Peter Stoffer, Sackville—Preston—Chezzetcook, NS
- Peggy Nash, Parkdale—High Park, ON
Other:
- Bruce Hyer (GP), Thunder Bay—Superior North, ON
- Jean-François Fortin (SD), Avignon—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia, QC
- Scott Andrews (Independent), Avalon, NL
Riding-by-riding forecasts:
Newfoundland and Labrador |
FORECAST |
Avalon |
LIBERAL |
Bonavista—Burin—Trinity |
LIBERAL |
Coast of Bays—Central—Notre Dame |
LIBERAL |
Labrador |
LIBERAL |
Long Range Mountains |
LIBERAL |
St. John’s East |
NDP |
St. John’s South—Mount Pearl |
LIBERAL |
Prince Edward Island |
FORECAST |
Cardigan |
LIBERAL |
Charlottetown |
LIBERAL |
Egmont |
LIBERAL |
Malpeque |
LIBERAL |
Nova Scotia |
FORECAST |
Cape Breton—Canso |
LIBERAL |
Central Nova |
LIBERAL |
Cumberland—Colchester |
LIBERAL |
Dartmouth—Cole Harbour |
LIBERAL |
Halifax |
LIBERAL |
Halifax West |
LIBERAL |
Kings—Hants |
LIBERAL |
Sackville—Preston—Chezzetcook |
LIBERAL |
South Shore—St. Margarets |
LIBERAL |
Sydney—Victoria |
LIBERAL |
West Nova |
LIBERAL |
New Brunswick |
FORECAST |
Acadie—Bathurst |
LIBERAL |
Beauséjour |
LIBERAL |
Fredericton |
LIBERAL |
Fundy Royal |
CONSERVATIVE |
Madawaska—Restigouche |
LIBERAL |
Miramichi—Grand Lake |
LIBERAL |
Moncton—Riverview—Dieppe |
LIBERAL |
New Brunswick Southwest |
CONSERVATIVE |
Saint John—Rothesay |
LIBERAL |
Tobique—Mactaquac |
LIBERAL |
Quebec |
FORECAST |
Abitibi—Baie-James—Nunavik—Eeyou |
NDP |
Abitibi—Témiscamingue |
NDP |
Ahuntsic-Cartierville |
LIBERAL |
Alfred-Pellan |
LIBERAL |
Argenteuil—La Petite-Nation |
LIBERAL |
Avignon—La Mitis—Matane—Matapédia |
LIBERAL |
Beauce |
CONSERVATIVE |
Beauport–Côte-de-Beaupré–Île d’Orléans–Charlevoix |
CONSERVATIVE |
Beauport—Limoilou |
CONSERVATIVE |
Bécancour—Nicolet—Saurel |
BQ |
Bellechasse—Les Etchemins—Lévis |
CONSERVATIVE |
Beloeil—Chambly |
BQ |
Berthier—Maskinongé |
NDP |
Bourassa |
LIBERAL |
Brome—Missisquoi |
LIBERAL |
Brossard—Saint-Lambert |
LIBERAL |
Charlesbourg—Haute-Saint-Charles |
CONSERVATIVE |
Châteauguay—Lacolle |
BQ |
Chicoutimi—Le Fjord |
NDP |
Compton—Stanstead |
NDP |
Dorval—Lachine—LaSalle |
LIBERAL |
Drummond |
NDP |
Gaspésie—Les Îles-de-la-Madeleine |
LIBERAL |
Gatineau |
LIBERAL |
Hochelaga |
NDP |
Honoré-Mercier |
LIBERAL |
Hull—Aylmer |
LIBERAL |
Joliette |
BQ |
Jonquière |
NDP |
La Pointe-de-l’Île |
NDP |
La Prairie |
BQ |
Lac-Saint-Jean |
CONSERVATIVE |
Lac-Saint-Louis |
LIBERAL |
LaSalle–Émard–Verdun |
LIBERAL |
Laurentides—Labelle |
BQ |
Laurier—Sainte-Marie |
BQ |
Laval—Les Îles |
LIBERAL |
Lévis—Lotbinière |
CONSERVATIVE |
Longueuil—Charles-LeMoyne |
BQ |
Longueuil—Saint-Hubert |
BQ |
Louis-Hébert |
CONSERVATIVE |
Louis-Saint-Laurent |
CONSERVATIVE |
Manicouagan |
NDP |
Marc-Aurèle-Fortin |
LIBERAL |
Mégantic—L’Érable |
CONSERVATIVE |
Mirabel |
BQ |
Montarville |
BQ |
Montcalm |
BQ |
Montmagny—L’Islet—Kamouraska—Rivière-du-Loup |
CONSERVATIVE |
Mount Royal |
LIBERAL |
Notre-Dame-de-Grâce—Westmount |
LIBERAL |
Outremont |
NDP |
Papineau |
LIBERAL |
Pierre-Boucher–Les Patriotes–Verchères |
BQ |
Pierrefonds—Dollard |
LIBERAL |
Pontiac |
LIBERAL |
Portneuf—Jacques-Cartier |
CONSERVATIVE |
Québec |
NDP |
Repentigny |
BQ |
Richmond—Arthabaska |
CONSERVATIVE |
Rimouski-Neigette—Témiscouata—Les Basques |
NDP |
Rivière-des-Mille-Îles |
NDP |
Rivière-du-Nord |
BQ |
Rosemont—La Petite-Patrie |
NDP |
Saint-Hyacinthe—Bagot |
NDP |
Saint-Jean |
NDP |
Saint-Laurent |
LIBERAL |
Saint-Léonard—Saint-Michel |
LIBERAL |
Saint-Maurice—Champlain |
LIBERAL |
Salaberry—Suroît |
BQ |
Shefford |
NDP |
Sherbrooke |
NDP |
Terrebonne |
NDP |
Thérèse-De Blainville |
NDP |
Trois-Rivières |
NDP |
Vaudreuil—Soulanges |
LIBERAL |
Ville-Marie–Le Sud-Ouest–Île-des-Sœurs |
LIBERAL |
Vimy |
LIBERAL |
Ontario |
FORECAST |
Ajax |
LIBERAL |
Algoma—Manitoulin—Kapuskasing |
NDP |
Aurora—Oak Ridges—Richmond Hill |
LIBERAL |
Barrie—Innisfil |
LIBERAL |
Barrie—Springwater—Oro-Medonte |
LIBERAL |
Bay of Quinte |
LIBERAL |
Beaches—East York |
LIBERAL |
Brampton Centre |
LIBERAL |
Brampton East |
LIBERAL |
Brampton North |
LIBERAL |
Brampton South |
LIBERAL |
Brampton West |
LIBERAL |
Brantford–Brant |
LIBERAL |
Bruce—Grey—Owen Sound |
CONSERVATIVE |
Burlington |
CONSERVATIVE |
Cambridge |
LIBERAL |
Carleton |
CONSERVATIVE |
Chatham-Kent—Leamington |
CONSERVATIVE |
Davenport |
LIBERAL |
Don Valley East |
LIBERAL |
Don Valley North |
LIBERAL |
Don Valley West |
LIBERAL |
Dufferin—Caledon |
CONSERVATIVE |
Durham |
LIBERAL |
Eglinton—Lawrence |
LIBERAL |
Elgin—Middlesex—London |
CONSERVATIVE |
Essex |
CONSERVATIVE |
Etobicoke Centre |
LIBERAL |
Etobicoke North |
LIBERAL |
Etobicoke—Lakeshore |
LIBERAL |
Flamborough—Glanbrook |
CONSERVATIVE |
Glengarry—Prescott—Russell |
LIBERAL |
Guelph |
LIBERAL |
Haldimand—Norfolk |
CONSERVATIVE |
Haliburton—Kawartha Lakes—Brock |
CONSERVATIVE |
Hamilton Centre |
NDP |
Hamilton East—Stoney Creek |
NDP |
Hamilton Mountain |
LIBERAL |
Hamilton West—Ancaster—Dundas |
LIBERAL |
Hastings—Lennox and Addington |
CONSERVATIVE |
Humber River–Black Creek |
LIBERAL |
Huron—Bruce |
LIBERAL |
Kanata—Carleton |
LIBERAL |
Kenora |
NDP |
King—Vaughan |
LIBERAL |
Kingston and the Islands |
LIBERAL |
Kitchener Centre |
LIBERAL |
Kitchener South—Hespeler |
LIBERAL |
Kitchener—Conestoga |
LIBERAL |
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex |
CONSERVATIVE |
Lanark—Frontenac—Kingston |
CONSERVATIVE |
Leeds–Grenville–Thousand Islands and Rideau Lakes |
CONSERVATIVE |
London North Centre |
LIBERAL |
London West |
LIBERAL |
London—Fanshawe |
NDP |
Markham—Stouffville |
LIBERAL |
Markham—Thornhill |
LIBERAL |
Markham—Unionville |
LIBERAL |
Milton |
CONSERVATIVE |
Mississauga Centre |
LIBERAL |
Mississauga East–Cooksville |
LIBERAL |
Mississauga—Erin Mills |
LIBERAL |
Mississauga—Lakeshore |
LIBERAL |
Mississauga—Malton |
LIBERAL |
Mississauga—Streetsville |
LIBERAL |
Nepean |
LIBERAL |
Newmarket—Aurora |
LIBERAL |
Niagara Centre |
NDP |
Niagara Falls |
CONSERVATIVE |
Niagara West |
CONSERVATIVE |
Nickel Belt |
NDP |
Nipissing—Timiskaming |
LIBERAL |
Northumberland–Peterborough South |
LIBERAL |
Oakville |
LIBERAL |
Oakville North—Burlington |
LIBERAL |
Orléans |
LIBERAL |
Oshawa |
NDP |
Ottawa Centre |
NDP |
Ottawa South |
LIBERAL |
Ottawa West—Nepean |
LIBERAL |
Ottawa—Vanier |
LIBERAL |
Oxford |
CONSERVATIVE |
Parkdale—High Park |
LIBERAL |
Parry Sound—Muskoka |
CONSERVATIVE |
Perth—Wellington |
CONSERVATIVE |
Peterborough–Kawartha |
LIBERAL |
Pickering—Uxbridge |
LIBERAL |
Renfrew—Nipissing—Pembroke |
CONSERVATIVE |
Richmond Hill |
LIBERAL |
Sarnia—Lambton |
CONSERVATIVE |
Sault Ste. Marie |
LIBERAL |
Scarborough Centre |
LIBERAL |
Scarborough North |
LIBERAL |
Scarborough Southwest |
LIBERAL |
Scarborough—Agincourt |
LIBERAL |
Scarborough—Guildwood |
LIBERAL |
Scarborough—Rouge Park |
LIBERAL |
Simcoe North |
CONSERVATIVE |
Simcoe—Grey |
CONSERVATIVE |
Spadina—Fort York |
LIBERAL |
St. Catharines |
LIBERAL |
Stormont—Dundas—South Glengarry |
CONSERVATIVE |
Sudbury |
LIBERAL |
Thornhill |
CONSERVATIVE |
Thunder Bay—Rainy River |
LIBERAL |
Thunder Bay—Superior North |
LIBERAL |
Timmins—James Bay |
NDP |
Toronto Centre |
LIBERAL |
Toronto–St. Paul’s |
LIBERAL |
Toronto—Danforth |
NDP |
University—Rosedale |
LIBERAL |
Vaughan—Woodbridge |
LIBERAL |
Waterloo |
LIBERAL |
Wellington—Halton Hills |
CONSERVATIVE |
Whitby |
LIBERAL |
Willowdale |
LIBERAL |
Windsor West |
NDP |
Windsor—Tecumseh |
NDP |
York Centre |
CONSERVATIVE |
York South—Weston |
LIBERAL |
York—Simcoe |
CONSERVATIVE |
Manitoba |
FORECAST |
Brandon—Souris |
CONSERVATIVE |
Charleswood—St. James—Assiniboia—Headingley |
CONSERVATIVE |
Churchill—Keewatinook Aski |
NDP |
Dauphin—Swan River—Neepawa |
CONSERVATIVE |
Elmwood—Transcona |
CONSERVATIVE |
Kildonan—St. Paul |
CONSERVATIVE |
Portage—Lisgar |
CONSERVATIVE |
Provencher |
CONSERVATIVE |
Saint Boniface—Saint Vital |
LIBERAL |
Selkirk—Interlake—Eastman |
CONSERVATIVE |
Winnipeg Centre |
LIBERAL |
Winnipeg North |
LIBERAL |
Winnipeg South |
LIBERAL |
Winnipeg South Centre |
LIBERAL |
Saskatchewan |
FORECAST |
Battlefords—Lloydminster |
CONSERVATIVE |
Cypress Hills—Grasslands |
CONSERVATIVE |
Desnethé—Missinippi—Churchill River |
CONSERVATIVE |
Carlton Trail–Eagle Creek |
CONSERVATIVE |
Moose Jaw—Lake Centre—Lanigan |
CONSERVATIVE |
Prince Albert |
CONSERVATIVE |
Regina—Lewvan |
NDP |
Regina—Qu’Appelle |
CONSERVATIVE |
Regina—Wascana |
LIBERAL |
Saskatoon—Grasswood |
CONSERVATIVE |
Saskatoon—University |
CONSERVATIVE |
Saskatoon West |
NDP |
Souris—Moose Mountain |
CONSERVATIVE |
Yorkton—Melville |
CONSERVATIVE |
Alberta |
FORECAST |
Banff—Airdrie |
CONSERVATIVE |
Battle River—Crowfoot |
CONSERVATIVE |
Bow River |
CONSERVATIVE |
Calgary Centre |
CONSERVATIVE |
Calgary Confederation |
CONSERVATIVE |
Calgary Forest Lawn |
CONSERVATIVE |
Calgary Heritage |
CONSERVATIVE |
Calgary Midnapore |
CONSERVATIVE |
Calgary Nose Hill |
CONSERVATIVE |
Calgary Rocky Ridge |
CONSERVATIVE |
Calgary Shepard |
CONSERVATIVE |
Calgary Signal Hill |
CONSERVATIVE |
Calgary Skyview |
CONSERVATIVE |
Edmonton Centre |
CONSERVATIVE |
Edmonton Griesbach |
CONSERVATIVE |
Edmonton Manning |
CONSERVATIVE |
Edmonton Mill Woods |
CONSERVATIVE |
Edmonton Riverbend |
CONSERVATIVE |
Edmonton Strathcona |
NDP |
Edmonton West |
CONSERVATIVE |
Edmonton—Wetaskiwin |
CONSERVATIVE |
Foothills |
CONSERVATIVE |
Fort McMurray—Cold Lake |
CONSERVATIVE |
Grande Prairie–Mackenzie |
CONSERVATIVE |
Lakeland |
CONSERVATIVE |
Lethbridge |
CONSERVATIVE |
Medicine Hat–Cardston–Warner |
CONSERVATIVE |
Peace River—Westlock |
CONSERVATIVE |
Red Deer—Mountain View |
CONSERVATIVE |
Red Deer–Lacombe |
CONSERVATIVE |
St. Albert—Edmonton |
CONSERVATIVE |
Sherwood Park—Fort Saskatchewan |
CONSERVATIVE |
Sturgeon River–Parkland |
CONSERVATIVE |
Yellowhead |
CONSERVATIVE |
British Columbia |
FORECAST |
Abbotsford |
CONSERVATIVE |
Burnaby North—Seymour |
LIBERAL |
Burnaby South |
NDP |
Cariboo—Prince George |
CONSERVATIVE |
Central Okanagan—Similkameen—Nicola |
CONSERVATIVE |
Chilliwack—Hope |
CONSERVATIVE |
Cloverdale—Langley City |
CONSERVATIVE |
Coquitlam—Port Coquitlam |
CONSERVATIVE |
Courtenay—Alberni |
NDP |
Cowichan—Malahat—Langford |
NDP |
Delta |
CONSERVATIVE |
Esquimalt–Saanich–Sooke |
NDP |
Fleetwood—Port Kells |
CONSERVATIVE |
Kamloops—Thompson—Cariboo |
CONSERVATIVE |
Kelowna—Lake Country |
CONSERVATIVE |
Kootenay—Columbia |
CONSERVATIVE |
Langley—Aldergrove |
CONSERVATIVE |
Mission—Matsqui—Fraser Canyon |
CONSERVATIVE |
Nanaimo—Ladysmith |
NDP |
New Westminster—Burnaby |
NDP |
North Island–Powell River |
NDP |
North Okanagan—Shuswap |
CONSERVATIVE |
North Vancouver |
LIBERAL |
Pitt Meadows—Maple Ridge |
CONSERVATIVE |
Port Moody—Coquitlam |
CONSERVATIVE |
Prince George—Peace River—Northern Rockies |
CONSERVATIVE |
Richmond Centre |
CONSERVATIVE |
Saanich—Gulf Islands |
GREEN |
Skeena—Bulkley Valley |
NDP |
South Okanagan—West Kootenay |
NDP |
South Surrey—White Rock |
CONSERVATIVE |
Steveston—Richmond East |
CONSERVATIVE |
Surrey Centre |
NDP |
Surrey—Newton |
LIBERAL |
Vancouver Centre |
LIBERAL |
Vancouver East |
NDP |
Vancouver Granville |
LIBERAL |
Vancouver Kingsway |
NDP |
Vancouver Quadra |
LIBERAL |
Vancouver South |
LIBERAL |
Victoria |
NDP |
West Vancouver—Sunshine Coast—Sea to Sky Country |
LIBERAL |
Territories |
FORECAST |
Yukon |
LIBERAL |
Northwest Territories |
NDP |
Nunavut |
LIBERAL |
Click here for a PDF version of this report: Seat Projection (October 19, 2015)
More herding of the sheeple into the Liberal camp.
Yes; I agree
It would be interesting to see this table again tomorrow with two additional columns, one showing the actual winning party in each riding and the other showing its plurality over the party you selected, if any
I agree! I would love to see the comparisons after!
I just voted rifht now and I saw a kinf of relative turn out. Thigs not boding well vote Liberals for now. May be around 6 p.m. people will come in flow to vote. But I guess the nigth will be very long.
Dunno. Massive line ups early in Vancouver.
I would bet 90% of Liberals voters have not read one paragraph of the Liberal Platform. What a bunch of gobbledygook. Nothing more than feel good statements. People are sure in for a surprise with the pension splitting. Income splitting gone. Hazel fooled a lot of people.
Seems like you read but cannot comprehend. No wonder you vote for Harperman. Go kiss him goodbye.
Prove me wrong.
She doesn’t care she probably won’t live out the next PMs term
Michael: I agree 100%
Yep, we left the hogs with the Harperites.
Of all the results, the most pitiable would seem to be the election of 16 BQ MPs, the party literally dragged cold and damp out of its grave.
1. Kitchener-Conestoga -> Liberal? Are you crazy? Everywhere you look it is wall to wall Harold Albrecht signs (Conservative). Harold is loved in this riding and much of it is rural. Likewise 2. Kitchener South – Hespeler and 3, Cambridge are also definitely going Conservative.
4. Waterloo and 5. Kitchener Centre are overwhelmingly going to go Liberal so someone has gotten lazy / sloppy and projected that to these other 3 nearby ridings. Waterloo is full of big city Liberal voters and Kitchener Centre has a Conservative MP that is very unlikeable.
Ekos says all 5 are of these ridings are going Liberal. I live in this area and say that 3 are going Conservative.
While I predicted a Liberal majority in the 13th (182), the EKOS seat predictions really do not gel with their polling stats … even accounting for the late surge to the Liberals they picked up on Sunday.
Where do these sudden seat predictions arise from? They are even higher than the 308.com seat tally and it is an aggregator site with a higher Liberal vote than EKOS. I can’t see how a 35.8% vote translates into 151 seats – especially given the relative ‘inefficiency’ of the Liberal vote.
Your are hoping for a maj. You will be very disappointed..
Not hoping for a majority — just my reading of the tea leaves.
So sad we don’t have any objective media left in this Country.
Please let us wait for the next 3 hours before we know who gets elected but personally I am still rooting for Conservative.
Historically, Liberal government has NEVER be prudent financially, and the financial handling of finances in the province of Ontario is very illustrative.
I could remember vividly how the seat projections were in favor of Wildrose Party in the 2 previous elections in Alberta and it was on record that the provincial Conservative party won the election in landslide. Without doubt, the electorates that voted for the NDP government in the last election have started having a rethink.
The present premier in Alberta, Ms. Rachel Notley, made a lot of unattainable promises during her campaign. It would be noted that the Premier has been in office for over 5 months, (I stand to be corrected on this) and the only thing she had been able to do was increasing the minimum wage that was uncalled for bearing in mind that only less than 2% of the population make less than the minimum wage. Incidentally, we should be able to draw a parallel between her promises and Trudeau’s; ultimately, both promises will end up being another failed promises to sway most unintelligent voters.
Forever Conservative!!!
Oh; GOD please help us in this Election.
A liberal Government is the worst thing that can happen to Canada at this time.
God please hear my cry!!
Poll will be closing in a few hours, across this great nation and I know that you have listened to my cry!!
The CPC approach to the Economy is much better than Libs, so God please help us.
In jesus name we pray!!
Amen
It seems that either your god prefers the liberals, or else she doesn’t exist at all. Take your pick.
My God answers prayers in his own time..
Justin an his Libs won’t late very long..
Another crazy prediction above is St. Catharines, ON going Liberal. Holy cow there is a conservative (Rick Dykstra) sign in every other lawn in the city, and he won with almost 50% last time out. I think the seat numbers in this prediction are way too highly skewed and though the Libs may still get the most, it’s not going to be with that margin. I can’t believe Ontario skewing Liberal with the decade of Liberal corruption provincially. Good Lord!!
To me the story of this election is that Canadians were voting against the incumbents. When the writ was dropped, it was all NDP because they had the best chance. Then Quebec waffled with the niqab and all, and the rest of the country said, “ok, we will go with the liberals then”.
But voting against something is far from inspiring. And that is because all of our options, to be eloquent here, sucked. We truly had a depressing choice this time round. Virulently sucky or just pathetically sucky? Okay, just pathetically sucky then …
I really hope that people hold the liberals to their talk of electoral reform. If it were not for our god-forsaken, fun house of mirrors, effed up, system of voter distortion, we would not be in this miserable boat of having to choose what we do not want, instead of choosing what we do. A more proportional system is what I need for inspiration.
I disagree. Perhaps initially people wanted to vote against Harper but Trudeau has arguably given people something to vote for — a vision of Canada that is positive and inclusive — hopefully free of the politics of fear and division. I get that that might not be your view of things … but for about 70% of the population it appears to be.
Wow!!! This is like a bad dream!!! A majority liberal government!!!
Canadians are obviously stupid but I think my first question to Turdeau would be ‘are you going to pay back the $250000000 the LPC stole off taxpayers under Cretin?’. Cant wait to see this softarse boy face Putin. Lol. Canada remains off the world stage under this lightweight.
Congrats Jeremy; You got it right. Lib Maj.
Bad dream for me too
At the risk of inflammation conservative sentiments on this board . . Can i just say that, for me, it is like canada has emerged from some awful darkness tonight. I welcome a progressive government that is positive and hopefully will govern for all Canadians. While conservatives may feel this is a bad dream … i dare say that for the majority of progressive minded Canadians it is as if we have awoken from a bad dream.
Cheers
Justin is more left wing than the NDP so progressive doesnt apply.
Am I allowed to say that over 60% of Canadians didnt want Turdeau. I bet he wont reform the system now that Chretien ooops I mean Turdeau is calling the shots. Hated his father and I dont have much faith in his son either.
You sure are! Doesn’t feel right, does it? Because it is not. A more proportional electoral system is needed, the one we’ve got distorts and misrepresents the will of the people.
But it wouldn’t be fair to equate the current situation with the past 9 and a half years or so. It is a very different thing to be on one end of the spectrum and have less than 40% of the popular vote while having more than 50% of the seats. It is quite another to be closer to the middle of the spectrum and be in that situation. In the first situation, the 60+% are all to one side of the false majority. In the latter situation, the 60+% are split on either side of the false majority.
Your prediction would have me mislead for months! I’ll remember!