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[Ottawa – May 19, 2022] The Conservative Party of Canada has opened up a six-point lead over the governing Liberal Party, a new EKOS Research survey has found. The current Conservative lead is being powered by robust support from men under the age of 50. Among decided voters, the Conservatives have 35.4% support, while the Liberals hold 29.2%. The New Democratic Party has 19.9% support and the Greens have 4.5%. The Bloc Québécois have 4.3% nationally, but 18.6% in Quebec. [More...] 
[Ottawa – May 13, 2022] The Conservative leadership race has done little to break stalemate in the federal horserace. At 32 points, the Liberal Party holds a statistically insignificant, fraction-of-a-point lead over the Conservative Party. At 20 points, the NDP is in a distance third place. Interestingly, the People’s Party is down four points from January, suggesting that the media attention on leadership candidates such as Pierre Poilievre and Leslyn Lewis may be drawing the party’s supporters back into the Conservative fold. [More...] 
This survey was conducted using EKOS’ unique, hybrid online/telephone research panel, Probit. Our panel offers exhaustive coverage of the Canadian population (i.e., Internet, phone, cell phone), random recruitment (in other words, participants are recruited randomly, they do not opt themselves into our panel), and equal probability sampling. All respondents to our panel are recruited by telephone using random digit dialling and are confirmed by live interviewers. Unlike opt-in online panels, Probit supports margin of error estimates. [More...] 
[Ottawa – February 4, 2022] As we move into the third year of the pandemic and review some 1,500 charts we have collected, which one best captures where we are today? While difficult to reduce this complexity to a single chart, the chart below captures some of the most critical features of where we are today. [More...] 
[Ottawa – January 19, 2022] As we enter the New Year, only one party manages to exceed the pretty humble yardstick of 30 per cent – barely. At 30 points, the Liberals have an insignificant, fraction-of-a-point lead over the Conservatives. The NDP is at 21 points and the Bloc is at 25 per cent in Quebec. At five points, the leaderless Green Party is not a factor and the People’s Party is at nine points. [More...] 
[Ottawa – November 27, 2021] Canada is two months out from its most recent federal election and the latest poll results suggest little would change if another one were held tomorrow. The voter landscape shows little movement, which reflects a broadly sour national mood. The polarization and fragmentation that have become an entrenched feature of our political landscape have not gone away and may have gotten worse. No party summons even 31% of voter intention and there appears to be no path to a majority in the near future. This finding comes against a background where the recent election produced historically low levels of public satisfaction. It is linked to a view that while the pandemic may be drawing to a slow conclusion, a return to normalcy and a full economic recovery are years away. [More...] 
Below is a retrospective of our polling during the 44th Canadian federal election, the forces that shaped it, and the underlying movements. [More...] 
[Ottawa – September 19, 2019] In our final poll for the 44th federal election campaign, we are predicting that the Liberals will capture the most seats on Monday. Given the trends over the past week and the regional patterns, we feel comfortable that the Liberals are going to win with a minority of seats, though it is unclear whether this will be a strengthened or diminished minority. Given the seat-efficient distribution of Liberal support, combined with recent movements in Ontario, the party has a plausible path to a majority, though a minority is still the most likely outcome. [More...] 
Click here for the latest poll results from September 16-18, 2021. [More...] 
Click here for the latest poll results from September 15-17, 2021. [More...] 
Click here for the latest poll results from September 14-16, 2021. [More...] 
Click here for the latest poll results from September 13-15, 2021. [More...] 
Click here for the latest poll results from September 12-14, 2021. [More...] 
Click here for the latest poll results from September 11-13, 2021. [More...] 
Click here for the latest poll results from September 10-12, 2021. [More...] 
Click here for the latest poll results from September 9-11, 2021. [More...] 
Click here for the latest poll results from September 8-10, 2021. [More...] 
Click here for the latest poll results from September 7-9, 2021. [More...] 
Click here for the latest poll results from September 6-8, 2021. [More...] 
[Ottawa – September 9, 2021] To provide our readers with a more stable picture of the movements in some of Canada’s smaller regions (e.g., Manitoba, Saskatchewan, the Atlantic), we are providing a seven-day roll-up of our latest polling. The survey includes a robust sample of 2,788 Canadian adults. [More...] |
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