About EKOS Politics

We launched this website in order to showcase our election research, and our suite of polling technologies including Probit and IVR. We will be updating this site frequently with new polls, analysis and insight into Canadian politics. EKOS's experience, knowledge and sophisticated research designs have contributed positively to many previous elections.

Other EKOS Products

In addition to current political analysis, EKOS also makes available to the public general research of interest, including research in evaluation, general public domain research, as well as a full history of EKOS press releases.

Media Inquires

For media inquires, please contact: Frank Graves President EKOS Research Associates t: 613.235-7215 [email protected]

The Politics of Resentment

The public mood is dark and the country divided. Overwhelmingly, those with the lowest levels of trust and highest levels of false beliefs are drawn to the Conservative Party of Canada. The links between mistrust, false beliefs, and support for Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre are massive. [More...]

Public Attitudes to Wildfires and the Logging Industry

The following survey was commissioned by Nature Canada. This study was conducted online using EKOS’ probability-based research panel, Probit. The field dates for this survey are July 28 – August 9, 2023. In total, a random sample of 1,071 Canadian adults aged 18+ responded to the survey. The margin of error associated with the total sample is ±3.0 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. All the data have been statistically weighted by age, gender, and region. [More...]

A Dark and Polarized Outlook

The following presentation was delivered by Frank Graves to Future of Insights Summit, hosted by the Canadian Research Insight Council (CRIC) in collaboration with ESOMAR and CAIP Canada on June 5, 2023. [More...]

Biden Envy?

[Ottawa – March 24, 2023] With U.S. President Joe Biden’s first official visit to Canada underway, we have seen a strong recovery in terms of the outlook on the U.S.-Canada relationship since change in administration. Just over half of Canadians (53 per cent) would describe the U.S.-Canada relationship as good, a two-fold increase over the final months of Donald Trump’s presidency. Meanwhile, just 11 per cent rate it as poor. [More...]

Polarized Gridlock

[Ottawa – March 17, 2023] A deeply polarized electorate is divided three ways and no party has a clear path to power, a new EKOS poll has found. At 31 points, the Conservative Party has a three-point lead over the governing Liberals, who are at 28 per cent. Over the past few months, the Liberals have been losing ground to the third-place NDP who, at 25 points, are enjoying their highest standing since 2015, though these numbers would be well short of propelling Jagmeet Singh to victory if an election were held tomorrow. [More...]

Polarization, Populism, and Evolving Public Outlook on Canada and the World

[Ottawa – January 17, 2023] The following presentation was delivered by Frank Graves to the Canadian Global Affairs Institute on January 17, 2023. [More...]

Canadians Favour More Integrated North America

[Ottawa – January 11, 2023] Nearly a majority of Canadians favour a more integrated North America, a new EKOS Research Study has found. [More...]

Canada: A Secular Country Overall, But Some Groups Still Faithful

(13th December 2022 – Ottawa, ON) – Statistics Canada released a report in October based on new 2021 census data that religiosity and religious observance have declined since 2001. [More...]

Conservatives With A Narrow Lead over Liberals

(30th November 2022 – Ottawa, ON) – The Conservative Party of Canada has a narrow two-point lead over the governing Liberals, a new EKOS Research poll has found. [More...]

National Parks, the Charter, and Medicare Contribute Most To Canadian Identity: EKOS Research Study

(November 10, 2022) – Ottawa, ON – As most of us know, a national identity emerges over time and comprises shared narratives and interpretations of events, objects, symbols, and values. A national identity is an expression of collective self-perception and sensibility shared by individuals living in a country. Moreover, national identity is fluid, and these interpretations will change over time. [More...]

Conservatives Maintain Small Lead

[OTTAWA – September 23, 2022] The Conservative Party of Canada, with its new leader Pierre Poilievre, has a two-point lead over the governing Liberals, a new EKOS Research Poll has found. [More...]

Public Attitudes to the “Freedom Movement”

[Ottawa – September 2, 2022] Public support for the “freedom movement” is very stable. One-quarter of Canadians (25 per cent) say they support the movement, while 62 per cent are opposed and the rest either don’t know or have a neutral stance on the matter. Support is highest in Alberta (36 per cent) and rural areas (31 per cent) and it is significantly higher among men than among women (31 per cent versus 18 per cent). Support is also comparatively stronger among  those aged 35 to 49 (particularly men) and those lack university educations. [More...]

Grab Your Sneakers and Come Protest: No Vehicles Please

[Ottawa – June 23, 2022] A national poll shows a large majority of Canadians think protests should be conducted on foot, not in a vehicle. By a nearly three-to-one margin, Canadians think vehicles should not be part of national protests (opposition would most likely rise if the question had referred to 18 wheelers). [More...]

Majority of Canadians Want Shaw Acquisition Blocked

[Ottawa – May 31, 2022] A strong majority of Canadians want to see Rogers’ acquisition of Shaw blocked – either by the Competition Bureau or by the federal government. Six in ten Canadians (58.5%) Canadians said they support the Competition Bureau’s effort to stop Rogers from acquiring Shaw. [More...]

Conservatives Open Up Six-Point Lead

[Ottawa – May 19, 2022] The Conservative Party of Canada has opened up a six-point lead over the governing Liberal Party, a new EKOS Research survey has found. The current Conservative lead is being powered by robust support from men under the age of 50. Among decided voters, the Conservatives have 35.4% support, while the Liberals hold 29.2%. The New Democratic Party has 19.9% support and the Greens have 4.5%. The Bloc Québécois have 4.3% nationally, but 18.6% in Quebec. [More...]

Liberals and Conservatives in Dead Heat

[Ottawa – May 13, 2022] The Conservative leadership race has done little to break stalemate in the federal horserace. At 32 points, the Liberal Party holds a statistically insignificant, fraction-of-a-point lead over the Conservative Party. At 20 points, the NDP is in a distance third place. Interestingly, the People’s Party is down four points from January, suggesting that the media attention on leadership candidates such as Pierre Poilievre and Leslyn Lewis may be drawing the party’s supporters back into the Conservative fold. [More...]

Public Attitudes to Ukraine Conflict by Vaccine Acceptance

This survey was conducted using EKOS’ unique, hybrid online/telephone research panel, Probit. Our panel offers exhaustive coverage of the Canadian population (i.e., Internet, phone, cell phone), random recruitment (in other words, participants are recruited randomly, they do not opt themselves into our panel), and equal probability sampling. All respondents to our panel are recruited by telephone using random digit dialling and are confirmed by live interviewers. Unlike opt-in online panels, Probit supports margin of error estimates. [More...]

The Essential Pandemic Reduced to One Chart

[Ottawa – February 4, 2022] As we move into the third year of the pandemic and review some 1,500 charts we have collected, which one best captures where we are today? While difficult to reduce this complexity to a single chart, the chart below captures some of the most critical features of where we are today. [More...]

Federal Landscape Frozen

[Ottawa – January 19, 2022] As we enter the New Year, only one party manages to exceed the pretty humble yardstick of 30 per cent – barely. At 30 points, the Liberals have an insignificant, fraction-of-a-point lead over the Conservatives. The NDP is at 21 points and the Bloc is at 25 per cent in Quebec. At five points, the leaderless Green Party is not a factor and the People’s Party is at nine points. [More...]

Three-Way Federal Horserace Frozen

[Ottawa – November 27, 2021] Canada is two months out from its most recent federal election and the latest poll results suggest little would change if another one were held tomorrow. The voter landscape shows little movement, which reflects a broadly sour national mood. The polarization and fragmentation that have become an entrenched feature of our political landscape have not gone away and may have gotten worse. No party summons even 31% of voter intention and there appears to be no path to a majority in the near future. This finding comes against a background where the recent election produced historically low levels of public satisfaction. It is linked to a view that while the pandemic may be drawing to a slow conclusion, a return to normalcy and a full economic recovery are years away. [More...]