About EKOS Politics

We launched this website in order to showcase our election research, and our suite of polling technologies including Probit and IVR. We will be updating this site frequently with new polls, analysis and insight into Canadian politics. EKOS's experience, knowledge and sophisticated research designs have contributed positively to many previous elections.

Other EKOS Products

In addition to current political analysis, EKOS also makes available to the public general research of interest, including research in evaluation, general public domain research, as well as a full history of EKOS press releases.

Media Inquires

For media inquires, please contact: Frank Graves President EKOS Research Associates t: 613.235-7215 [email protected]

The Politics of Resentment

The public mood is dark and the country divided. Overwhelmingly, those with the lowest levels of trust and highest levels of false beliefs are drawn to the Conservative Party of Canada. The links between mistrust, false beliefs, and support for Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre are massive. [More...]

Polarized Gridlock

[Ottawa – March 17, 2023] A deeply polarized electorate is divided three ways and no party has a clear path to power, a new EKOS poll has found. At 31 points, the Conservative Party has a three-point lead over the governing Liberals, who are at 28 per cent. Over the past few months, the Liberals have been losing ground to the third-place NDP who, at 25 points, are enjoying their highest standing since 2015, though these numbers would be well short of propelling Jagmeet Singh to victory if an election were held tomorrow. [More...]

Conservatives With A Narrow Lead over Liberals

(30th November 2022 – Ottawa, ON) – The Conservative Party of Canada has a narrow two-point lead over the governing Liberals, a new EKOS Research poll has found. [More...]

Conservatives Maintain Small Lead

[OTTAWA – September 23, 2022] The Conservative Party of Canada, with its new leader Pierre Poilievre, has a two-point lead over the governing Liberals, a new EKOS Research Poll has found. [More...]

Conservatives Open Up Six-Point Lead

[Ottawa – May 19, 2022] The Conservative Party of Canada has opened up a six-point lead over the governing Liberal Party, a new EKOS Research survey has found. The current Conservative lead is being powered by robust support from men under the age of 50. Among decided voters, the Conservatives have 35.4% support, while the Liberals hold 29.2%. The New Democratic Party has 19.9% support and the Greens have 4.5%. The Bloc Québécois have 4.3% nationally, but 18.6% in Quebec. [More...]

Liberals and Conservatives in Dead Heat

[Ottawa – May 13, 2022] The Conservative leadership race has done little to break stalemate in the federal horserace. At 32 points, the Liberal Party holds a statistically insignificant, fraction-of-a-point lead over the Conservative Party. At 20 points, the NDP is in a distance third place. Interestingly, the People’s Party is down four points from January, suggesting that the media attention on leadership candidates such as Pierre Poilievre and Leslyn Lewis may be drawing the party’s supporters back into the Conservative fold. [More...]

Federal Landscape Frozen

[Ottawa – January 19, 2022] As we enter the New Year, only one party manages to exceed the pretty humble yardstick of 30 per cent – barely. At 30 points, the Liberals have an insignificant, fraction-of-a-point lead over the Conservatives. The NDP is at 21 points and the Bloc is at 25 per cent in Quebec. At five points, the leaderless Green Party is not a factor and the People’s Party is at nine points. [More...]

Three-Way Federal Horserace Frozen

[Ottawa – November 27, 2021] Canada is two months out from its most recent federal election and the latest poll results suggest little would change if another one were held tomorrow. The voter landscape shows little movement, which reflects a broadly sour national mood. The polarization and fragmentation that have become an entrenched feature of our political landscape have not gone away and may have gotten worse. No party summons even 31% of voter intention and there appears to be no path to a majority in the near future. This finding comes against a background where the recent election produced historically low levels of public satisfaction. It is linked to a view that while the pandemic may be drawing to a slow conclusion, a return to normalcy and a full economic recovery are years away. [More...]

Post-Election Survey

Below is a retrospective of our polling during the 44th Canadian federal election, the forces that shaped it, and the underlying movements. [More...]

Liberals Headed to Form Government

[Ottawa – September 19, 2019] In our final poll for the 44th federal election campaign, we are predicting that the Liberals will capture the most seats on Monday. Given the trends over the past week and the regional patterns, we feel comfortable that the Liberals are going to win with a minority of seats, though it is unclear whether this will be a strengthened or diminished minority. Given the seat-efficient distribution of Liberal support, combined with recent movements in Ontario, the party has a plausible path to a majority, though a minority is still the most likely outcome. [More...]

Daily Tracking: September 19, 2021

Click here for the latest poll results from September 16-18, 2021. [More...]

Daily Tracking: September 17, 2021

Click here for the latest poll results from September 14-16, 2021. [More...]

Daily Tracking: September 16, 2021

Click here for the latest poll results from September 13-15, 2021. [More...]

Daily Tracking: September 15, 2021

Click here for the latest poll results from September 12-14, 2021. [More...]

Daily Tracking: September 14, 2021

Click here for the latest poll results from September 11-13, 2021. [More...]

Daily Tracking: September 13, 2021

Click here for the latest poll results from September 10-12, 2021. [More...]

Daily Tracking: September 12, 2021

Click here for the latest poll results from September 9-11, 2021. [More...]

Daily Tracking: September 10, 2021

Click here for the latest poll results from September 7-9, 2021. [More...]

Daily Tracking: September 9, 2021

Click here for the latest poll results from September 6-8, 2021. [More...]

One-Week Roll-Up: September 1-7, 2021

[Ottawa – September 9, 2021] To provide our readers with a more stable picture of the movements in some of Canada’s smaller regions (e.g., Manitoba, Saskatchewan, the Atlantic), we are providing a seven-day roll-up of our latest polling. The survey includes a robust sample of 2,788 Canadian adults. [More...]