About EKOS Politics

We launched this website in order to showcase our election research, and our suite of polling technologies including Probit and IVR. We will be updating this site frequently with new polls, analysis and insight into Canadian politics. EKOS's experience, knowledge and sophisticated research designs have contributed positively to many previous elections.

Other EKOS Products

In addition to current political analysis, EKOS also makes available to the public general research of interest, including research in evaluation, general public domain research, as well as a full history of EKOS press releases.

Media Inquires

For media inquires, please contact: Frank Graves President EKOS Research Associates t: 613.235-7215 [email protected]

Press Release Archives

Ontario Political Landscape

Federal Political Landacape

EKOS Accurately Predicts Quebec Liberal Victory

Quebec Liberals Headed to a Win

Future of the CBC

Looking Back, Looking Forward Part 3

Looking Back, Looking Forward Part 2

Looking Back, Looking Forward Part 1

Political Landscape

Voter Intention

Harper’s Approval Ratings

So What’s Really Bothering You Canada?

Liberals Widen Lead on Eve of Throne Speech

Choosing a Better Future?

Canadians Noticing Mulcair . . . and Warming to Him

Mid-Summer Poll

May Poll

Analysis of BC Election Polling

Canadian Views on Prescription Drug Coverage

Points de vue Canadians sur la couverture des médicaments d’ordonnance

The Trust Deficit: What Does it Mean?

BC Election

Tectonic Realignment or Ephemeral Bounce?

Conservative Ads on Trudeau Backfiring?

Immigration, Diversity, and the Political Landscape

Ontario Poll

Thomas Mulcair

The Trudeau Effect

Canadian Political Landscape

Stephen Harper

BC Political Poll

Examining shifts in values, social class, and societal outlook

Greatest Canadian Achievement

Attitudes Towards Immigration

Beyond the horesrace

A newly compeitive voter landscape

Ontario Liberal leadership race re-energizes party support

Looking Forward, Looking Backward

Looking Backward, Looking Forward, Part 5

Looking Backward, Looking Forward, Part 4

Looking Backward, Looking Forward: Part 3

Looking Backward, Looking Forward: Part 2

January 2013; Looking Backward, Looking Forward

Recent EKOS Political Poll

Affidavit of Frank Graves

Sources of Stability and Change in Canadian Social Fabric

EKOS Apology

Le Conference Board du Canada
Difference Marquée entre las Québécois et lea autres canadians sur les factuers influencant leur santé

Conference Board of Canada
Noticable difference between Quebecers’ and other Canadians’ perspectives on factors affecting health

Conference Board of Canada

Canadians see their own behaviour and lifestyle as the key to their health, not socio-economic factors

Quebec Election Retrospective

2012 Quebec Election Tables

Québec Election

2012 Quebec Election

Affidavit of Frank L. Graves
Please note that in error at pg. 4, footnote 1 and page 8 of this document, Mr. Graves is incorrectly referred to as Dr.

Affidavit of Neil Nevitte

Beyond the Horserace

Conservatives drop below 30 points

How to Become Canada’s “Best Pollster”

A Study of the Incidence and Effects of Misleading Calls in the 41st National Election

41st Election Study Comparison Riding Tables

41st Election Study Subject Riding Tables

Understanding the Prospects for the NDP

Advice to the New Leader of the NDP

An Increasingly Divided Outlook

The Return of Ideology?

The End of Progress?

A Divided Public Poses Deep Budget Challenges

No Public Backlash Yet Over Robo-Calls

BC NDP currently poised to form next Provincial Government

Conversation with Canadians

Data Tables for Year End Wrapup Poll

2011 Year End Wrapup

Democratic Alternatives

Trust in Democracy

The Future Through a Public Lens

Beyond the Horesrace

Looking Backward, Looking Forward, Part 3a

A Brief Post Mortem on Polling During the Ontario 2011 Election

EKOS’ Final Poll for the 2011 Ontario Election

McGuinty headed for third consecutive majority

Liberals Headed to Majority as Lead Widens to 10 Points

Dalton McGuinty Liberals Tracking to Victory with 7-Point Lead

Ontario Liberals Hold Small But Statistically Significant Lead

The 41st Election: A Polling Retrospective

A note on IVR polls

Accurate Polling, Flawed Forecast

A brief post mortem on polling election 41

Campaign drawing to a conclusion

Final words on Federal Election Campaign and a few more numbers

NDP rise continues

New Ontario vote splitting favours Conservatives

Voters locking in as campaign approaches conclusion

The new really big question

Electorate firming up in strange new normal

NDP’s new status as second runner holding

Are Jack Layton and the NDP redrawing the boundries of Canada’s political landscape?

NDP breakout confinues as everyone else spins wheels

A brief update of the last three days

Debates hold little sway on voters

Tighter race as ballot question comes into sharper relief

The Great Canadian Poll-Off

Conservatives retain 7-point lead as parties enter election campaign

Power and Knowledge: Shifting Public Perspectives

Tories enjoy clear but modest lead as election looms

Newly Volatile Electorate Reels in Conservative Lead

Liberals sagging as Conservatives open up wide lead

Quality of life in Canada

Political landscape show a 7.5 point Conservative lead

Growing receptivity to an election, which most see producing a similar result

Confidence in police but growing cracks in public trust

Moribund landscape: no party shows positive momentum

Conservatives pulling away from moribund Liberals

Race deadlocked as CPC sinks and NDP rises

Conservatives continue to enjoy small lead

EKOS accurately predicts Rob Ford’s victory

Conservatives widen their modest lead in a placid political environment

Lean to majority Government . . . but only my majority, not yours

Education gap between parties widens

Voter intention stagnant as Tories eke out a bare lead

Race deadlocked as Conservatives falter on census decision

Race tightens as we approach the dog days of summer

Conservatives maintain modest but clear lead as voters coast through summer

Liberals wilting in summer heat

Voter intentions appear locked into a confused pattern as summer recess begins

Tories lowest sinces achieving government

Recent Trends Continue as CPC Lead Shrinks to Less Than Five Points

Public Attitudes to Police and Oversight

Conservatives slip back below one-third of electorate

Conservatives’ lock on lead raises questions for opposition

Most Canadians want offshore drilling suspended or stopped

Tory edge approaches ten percent

Conservatives open lead over Libs during spring

Women see it differently

Men/women divided on Tories/NDP

Election anyone?

A Statement from Frank Graves

Guergis registering with dispproval

Overnight Sensation

Guergisized!

Canadians agree with Prime Minister on restricting pensions for Federal prisoners

Political landscape frozen

Going for a beer? Jack’s your man

Canadians decisively pro-choice on abortion

Weak Tories maintain lead over weaker Liberals

Attention to Afgahan detainee issue fading but scepticism of Government remains

Liberals falling back

Canadians support decriminalization of minor pot possession and do not favour death penalty

Tories open clear water ahead of Liberals

The 2010 Walter Gordon Massey Symposium on Public Policy

The 2010 Walter Gordon Massey Symposium on Public Policy

Budget creates barely a ripple

Budget shrug

Tories three points ahead in pre-budget poll

Harper’s many detractors can’t find a champion

Conservatives re-open gap over Liberals

Liberals/Conservatives frozen in place

Canadians want spending cuts, deficit reduction, not tax hikes

Tories eke narrow edge

Liberals/Tories in Deadlock

Canadians endorse government action on Haiti

Liberal Growth/Tory Decline Unaffected by Haiti

EKOS’ Observations on MRIA Study

Liberals/Conservatives in virtual tie

The Olympics: Swifter, Higher, Too Expensive

Canadians on Prorogation

Tory lead waning

Liberals/Tories in horserace once again

To Vote . . . Click here

Political landscape freezes as Parliament closes

Potential trouble brewing for Conservatives as Canadians are accepting the Colvin account

Relatively placid political landscape

Not all Torontonians are against toll roads

Whither the Boomers: From Woodstock to Oil Stocks

Huge sample gives deeper picture of Tory lead

H1N1 fears ‘exaggerated’ say many Canadians

Canadian attitudes toward gun control

Ghost of election past

Double digit Tory lead: “This is not a blip”

Tory lead ebbs slightly

Tories consolidate lead

Tories edge into majority territory

Tory lead beginning to gel

Tories open up comfortable lead

Conservatives open up their lead

Tories open up small lead on Liberal election talk

Liberals/Tories in dead heat as election looms

EKOS Poll: Tories retain small edge

EKOS Weekly Tracking Poll

EKOS Poll: US Health Care, Two Party System

EKOS Poll: Canadians say recession not over

Canadians approve of Feds approach to H1N1/swine flu

Canadians want majority government

Decisive opposition to Canada’a Afghanistan mission

Summer stalemate as leaders hit the BBQ circuit

Liberals eke out lead as Tories slump

Conservatives edge into lead

EKOS/CBC News Survey: Liberals retain narrow national lead

An examination of voter loyalty

Close race with evidence of a modest Liberal advantage emerging

Massive Poll of Canadians

Background: Political Landscape in Canada

Canadian Political Landscape

Beware the “Echo Recession”

EKOS CBC Marketplace poll

EKOS/ Globe and Mail Survey Full Results

EKOS/ Globe and Mail Survey

EKOS/CBC News Survey: The new U.S. Administration: Background

EKOS/CBC News Survey: On the Obama Administration

Lansdowne Park Redevelopment

EKOS Poll: The Public on Prorogation

CBC News Survey

Canadians’ spending at Christmas

Rising Liberal Fortunes

Quebec as a Nation Debate

Rising Liberal Fortunes (Background)

Values and Attachment in Contemporary Quebec: Implications for the Future

Afghanistan support stabilizes

Background: Afghanistan support stabilizes

Liberal race shaping up as cliffhanger

Background: Liberal race shaping up as cliffhanger

International opinion of George W. Bush

Domestic Background: Opinion of George W. Bush

Background: International opinion of George W. Bush

Ontario Liberals in clear lead

Background: Ontario Liberals in clear lead

Bob Rae is public’s favourite for LPC Leader

Background: Bob Rae is public’s favourite for LPC Leader

Liberal Leadership: Rae best poised to win Liberal race

Background: Rae best poised to win Liberal race

Canadians tolerant of religious dress and practices

Tories knocking on the door of majority

Background: Tories knocking on the door of majority

Support for Afghanistan Mission Solidifies

Background: Support for Afghanistan Mission Solidifies

62% Support Canada’s Role in Afghanistan

Background: 62% Support for Canada’s Role in Afghanistan

Canadian Support for Troops in Afganistan

Background: Canadian Support for Troops in Afganistan

2006 Election Summary

Election 2006, Background: Tories appear poised to trade places with Liberals

Election 2006: Tories appear poised to trade places with Liberals

Election 2006: Daily Tracking for January 21

Statement by Frank Graves on the 2006 Federal Election

Federal Election Tracking January 20

Federal Election Tracking Poll, Jan 19 2006

Election 2006: Tory March to Majority Not Yet Secure

Election 2006, Background: Tory March to Majority Not Yet Secure

2006 Federal Election Tracking for January 17

January 16: Federal voting intention

Federal Election: Harper Closing the Deal

Background: Harper closing the deal

January 13: Federal Election: Tories consolidate lead

January 13 background: Federal Election: Tories consolidate lead

Federal Election Tracking Poll

Harpermania? Well, what else to call it?

Background: Harpermainia? Well, what else to call it?

January 7: Tories move into clear lead

January 7 Federal Election Poll: Background

Election ’06: Tories take clear lead

Background: Election ’06: Tories take clear lead

Background: Election 2006: Tight race in BC

Tight Race in BC

December 3 Election Poll

Background: December 3 Election Poll

Possible Liberal Majority

Background: Possible Liberal Majority

Liberals Retain Narrow Lead

Canadians Say “No” to an Early Vote

Parties Fiddle While Canada Gets Burnt

We’re Great. Politicians Are Dirt.

If Canada is Up, Why Are Canadians so Down?

Canadians Optimistic about Gomery Impact

Background to 14 November 2005 News Releases

Background: Canadians’ response to gas prices

Canadians’ response to gas prices

Canadians believe their province putting more into Confederation than it gets out

Support for Foreign Aid Rises

Drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge

Background: Drilling in the Arctic National Wildlife Refuge

Widening Liberal Lead as Tories Stall

Background: Widening Liberal Lead as Tories Stall

Ontario budget gets thumbs up

Background: Ontario budget gets thumbs up

Liberals rebound: Canadians favour LPC-NDP alliance over BQ-CPC

Background: Liberals rebound: Canadians favour LPC-NDP alliance over BQ-CPC

Liberals reeling under weight of burgeoning sponsorship scandal

Background: Liberals reeling under weight of burgeoning sponsorship scandal

Frank Graves on Canada and the World

Martin’s Liberals showing modest rebound

Background: Update on the political landscape

Polling on Trial

Post Throne Speech federal politics

Time Magazine – Canadian Outlook on the USA

Time Magazine – Background Document

Public and APEX Perspectives on Trust and Ethics

2004 Federal Election: The Day After

Federal Election 2004: The Final Countdown

Background: Federal Election 2004: The Final Countdown

Background Document: Federal Election 2004: Approaching Stalemate?

Federal Election 2004: Approaching Stalemate?

Federal Election Poll #2

Federal Election Poll #2

Federal Election: What is driving federal voting intentions

Federal Election Background: voting intentions

Federal Election Background: Majority Prospects Fading

Federal Election: Majority prospects fading

Update on the Federal Political Landscape

Contradictory Signals from an Uncertain Public

Update on the Federal Political Landscape

Liberals damaged but still poised to form government

EKOS’ Response to the Auditor General’s Report

Public Priorities

Press Release: The Romanow Report: One Year Later

The Romanow Report: One Year Later

CIty of Ottawa Municipal Election Survey

City of Toronto Mayoralty Election Survey

Ontario Election Campaign Post-Debate Survey

Ontario Election Campaign Survey, Data Slides

2003 Ontario Provincial Election Results Deck

2003 Ontario Provincial Election

The Canadian Political Scene

The Canadian Political Scene: Background Data

Sunday May 25th, 2003
Liberal Leadership Prospects and the Federal Landscape

Sunday May 18th, 2003
Tory Leadership Prospects and the Federal Landscape

Sunday May 4th, 2003
Public Reactions to SARS: An Update

Sunday April 27th, 2003
Public Reactions to SARS

Sunday April 13th, 2003
Public Ambivalence Toward Iraq

Sunday March 23rd, 2003
Likelihood of Suffering Terrorist Attacks in North America

Sunday March 9th, 2003
Perceived American Motives for War in Iraq

Sunday March 2nd, 2003
Western and Islamic Conflict: Avoidable or Inevitable?

Sunday February 23rd, 2003
Saddam Hussein: Asylum in Canada?

Sunday February 2nd, 2003
Long Term Solution to Terrorism

Sunday January 26th, 2003
Support for the NDP
War in Iraq

Sunday January 19th, 2003
The Federal Landscape and Liberal Leadership

Sunday January 19th, 2003
Bias in Middle East Media Reporting?

Sunday January 12th, 2003
Threat to Security: Bush or Hussein?

Sunday December 8th, 2002
Security and Government Priorities

Sunday November 24th, 2002
Two-Tier Health Care: Theory and Practice

Sunday November 17th, 2002
Support for Attacks in Iraq

Sunday November 10th, 2002
Public Attitudes Toward Same-Sex Marriage

Sunday November 3rd, 2002
Liberal Leadership Contenders

Sunday October 27th, 2002
Trust & Confidence in the Federal Government

Sunday October 20th, 2002
Public Attitudes Towards Immigration

Sunday October 13th, 2002
The Environment, Kyoto, and Faith in Leaders

Sunday October 6th, 2002
Iraq and Ethical Politicians

Public Response to the Ontario Budget

Government Response on Iraq Receives Broad Public Support

Iraq, Canada-U.S. Relations, and Federal Politics

Irak, les relations canado-américaines, et le budget fédéral

The Federal Political Landscape and Leadership

Security and Geopolitics

The Romanow Report on Health Care

The Kyoto Accord: Six Months Later

Canada – US Relations

Voix individuelles, choix collectifs

Private Voices, Public Choices

Update on the Federal Political Landscape

Pollution et développement urban dans la RCN

September 11th in Hindsight

Retour sur le 11 septembre

The ISP MarketPlace: Ekos’ Rethinking the Information Highway Study

Back In Control

Canadian Values & Identities in North America

Public Attitudes Towards the Kyoto Protocol

Martin vs. Chrétien: Spectacle, Sympathie, & Résilience

Martin vs. Chrétien: Spectacle, Sympathy & Resilience

Trust and the Monarchy

La confiance et la monarchie

Identity, Globalization and North American Integration: Canada at the Crossroads